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iPhone browsing marketshare closes in on .1%

Net Applications came out with its quarterly browser marketshare report this weekend.  More surprising than the solid market share gains that the Mac platform made, was iPhone's phenomenal showing.  —  .09 percent may seem …

Computerworld Blogs Seth Weintraub

Context & Ripple Effects

Net Applications' quarterly browser report lands with two Apple data points at once: the Mac platform posting solid gains on top of a year of momentum, after Mac share of surfers doubled in eight months through May and U.S. Mac share hit 8.1 percent in Q3.

The surprise is the iPhone: a single handheld device, on sale only since June 2007, already registers 0.09 percent of measured browser traffic — a number analysts are calling phenomenal for one SKU competing against every desktop platform combined.

First-order effects

  • Websites and ad networks now see the iPhone as a statistically measurable traffic source within months of launch, forcing them to log mobile Safari visits rather than lumping them into an undifferentiated 'other' bucket.
  • Apple gets independent third-party validation that the iPhone's full-web browser drives real usage, strengthening its argument that the device delivers the actual internet, not a pared-down mobile web.

Second-order effects

  • Measurement firms such as Net Applications face pressure to break mobile devices out as their own reporting category, since a growing iPhone base distorts desktop-only share comparisons.
  • Network operators get an early warning from cases like the July 2007 Duke University incident where iPhone traffic knocked out dozens of Wi-Fi access points — consumer handset browsing loads were never engineered into campus and carrier network assumptions.

Third-order effects

  • If one device alone can hold measurable browser share, the industry's browser rankings stop being a desktop-only story and mobile share becomes a tracked competitive metric in its own right.
  • Device makers are pushed to treat the browsing experience itself as a selling point, since traffic share is becoming a visible proxy for which hardware people actually use online.

The trend: Web usage measurement is beginning to split into desktop and mobile tracks as the iPhone makes single-device mobile browsing statistically visible for the first time.