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PlayStation 3 price cut may be ahead

Sony game console's hefty price tag has drawn criticism; Goldman Sachs analyst expects worldwide price reduction of $100 later this year.  —  NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) — Japanese electronics giant Sony may cut the price of its PlayStation 3 by $100 worldwide …

CNNMoney.com

Context & Ripple Effects

The price of Sony's new console has been a live question since well before launch — CNNMoney was asking whether it would even hit $500 back in January 2006, and the shipped machine drew immediate criticism for its hefty tag. The company has form here: it faced similar pressure on its handheld last summer, where a PSP price cut looked imminent.

What's new today is a specific forecast: an unconfirmed Goldman Sachs analyst call for a worldwide $100 reduction later in 2007. It lands days after Sony's March 7 unveiling of PlayStation Home, its free virtual world for the console — meaning any cheaper box would arrive alongside a heavier push toward services and software attached to each unit sold.

First-order effects

  • Sony would be trading hardware revenue for installed base: a confirmed $100 worldwide cut directly answers the price criticism while deepening the per-console subsidy, making PlayStation Home and game attach rates the recovery path.
  • Buyers who paid the original price absorb an immediate value hit, and retailers holding launch-priced inventory face markdown pressure the moment a cut is announced.

Second-order effects

  • Microsoft and Nintendo would face a repricing benchmark mid-generation — whichever of the three moves first on price forces the other two to justify their own tags against a cheaper PlayStation 3.
  • Game publishers gain a larger addressable base sooner, shifting their platform-allocation calculus toward Sony if the cut actually lands.

Third-order effects

  • If the Goldman thesis holds, it marks consoles behaving less like margin products and more like subscriber acquisition costs — hardware priced to seed a services flywheel like Home, with profitability moved entirely to software and online attach.
  • Analyst-driven price expectations also tighten the feedback loop between Wall Street research and consumer-electronics pricing, pressuring Sony to act on forecasts rather than its own calendar.

The trend: Console makers are shifting from selling hardware at a premium to seeding large installed bases cheaply and monetizing them through games and services — and analysts are now setting the pace of those cuts.