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PSP price cut might be imminent

Analysts believe Sony is preparing to cut PlayStation handheld gaming system prices in coming months.  —  Game Over is a weekly column by Chris Morris  —  NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) — While the price of the PlayStation 3 may prove to be too high …

CNNMoney.com Chris Morris

Context & Ripple Effects

Sony heads into the 2006 holiday season with a pricing problem at both ends of its lineup. Since January, analysts have expected the PlayStation 3 to land at around $500, and this week's Game Over column reports the same community now believes a PSP price cut is coming within months — a rumored move, not a confirmed one.

The timing matters because Sony's messaging has been under strain: a July 2006 white-PSP billboard ad drew consternation across the gaming community, and Phil Harrison's claim that the HD era only starts with Sony has raised the stakes on the company's premium positioning. A cheaper handheld would give retail a lower-priced entry point while the flagship console tests its ceiling.

First-order effects

  • If the cut lands, PSP buyers pay less immediately and Sony absorbs thinner hardware margins to keep unit velocity through a holiday season where the PS3's rumored price leaves no cheap Sony option at shelf.
  • Retailers gain a sub-premium Sony SKU to merchandise against Nintendo's DS during Q4, rather than leaning on firmware additions like the v2.6 podcasting update to justify the device.

Second-order effects

  • Nintendo faces renewed pricing pressure on the DS just as Sony tries to blunt its handheld lead, forcing either a counter-move or heavier reliance on its install-base advantage.
  • A PSP cut also resets expectations for the PS3 itself: once analysts see Sony willing to trade margin on handhelds ahead of a launch, calls to shave the console's price before release become louder.

Third-order effects

  • The pattern points to hardware-as-distribution economics hardening across the industry — consoles and handhelds priced to seed software and network attach, with margin recovered downstream rather than at register.
  • Price becomes the opening lever of each generational transition rather than a late-cycle correction, with analyst speculation itself functioning as market signaling months before any official move.

The trend: Console makers are increasingly using preemptive price cuts — and the analyst chatter around them — as competitive weapons ahead of generational handoffs rather than waiting for sales to force their hand.