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TEXXR

Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Analysis: nearly 1M $TRUMP retail buyers lost a combined $3.81B, while <500K mostly early wallets captured $4B in gains, a textbook memecoin wealth transfer

A report from a cryptocurrency analytics firm details how those who bought the Trump memecoin have fared, with most retail investors having lost money …

New York Times

Context & Ripple Effects

Coverage has repeatedly found that $TRUMP’s economic outcomes are concentrated: February reporting identified substantial realized profits largely among early buyers, while May reporting showed many later participants—particularly newer or small-time investors buying near the peak—were left with losses.

The latest analysis extends that arc from a snapshot of wallet profitability to a clearer wealth-transfer picture. Earlier coverage also tied the token’s sales and trading-fee generation to conflict-of-interest concerns, making the distribution of gains consequential beyond a typical speculative asset.

First-order effects

  • Retail $TRUMP holders collectively bear the reported losses, while a much smaller group of mostly early wallets accounts for the reported gains.
  • The analysis makes the gap between entry cohorts more visible: timing of purchase, rather than broad participation, appears to have determined who captured value.

Second-order effects

  • The findings can intensify scrutiny of token-sale and trading-fee economics, since prior coverage reported sizable fees alongside concerns over conflicts of interest.
  • For prospective retail buyers, evidence that late and peak-period purchasers were disproportionately harmed may reduce willingness to enter comparable politically branded, momentum-driven tokens.

Third-order effects

  • If repeated wallet-level analyses continue to show gains concentrating with early holders while retail participation expands later, memecoins will increasingly be viewed as vehicles for redistribution among trading cohorts rather than broad-based ownership.
  • The combination of retail losses, fee extraction, and political association could keep pressure on policymakers and market participants to distinguish speculative tokens from products marketed as accessible investments.

The trend: $TRUMP is part of a broader pattern in which highly attention-driven crypto assets concentrate returns among early entrants and expose later retail participants to the largest downside.

Discussion

  • @kenvogel Kenneth P. Vogel on x
    Nearly 1m people who bought Trump's memecoin have lost a total of $3.81b through the end of June. Trump, meanwhile, made $636m from the coin last year, because he collected returns whenever anyone traded it, as he repeatedly pushed his followers to do. https://www.nytimes.com/...
  • @senblumenthal Richard Blumenthal on x
    Trump bears clear blame for epic loss & ruin caused by his corrupt crypto scheme—nearly $4 billion to about a million investors—while he reaped $1.4 billion. https://www.nytimes.com/...
  • @davidfrum David Frum on x
    When the Trump meme coin launched, I assumed that buyers were “in on the con,” that buyers were mostly laundering bribes to Trump. But no, it turns out Trump found and scammed many thousands of people sadly gullible enough to entrust savings to the planet's most notorious crook.
  • @scott_wiener Senator Scott Wiener on x
    Heads I win, tails you lose. The scale of his grift is breathtaking. [image]
  • @jeffjarvis @jeffjarvis on x
    Now *this* is the way to report this story: Trump made his billion while his investors (read: his marks) lost $3.8 billion. That is theft. Gift link. Nearly a Million Investors Lost a Total of $3.8 Billion on Trump Crypto Coin https://www.nytimes.com/...
  • @senblumenthal Richard Blumenthal on x
    He profiteered from the Presidency—false pitches, foreign money, stifled enforcement, reduced regulation & more. He owes them, legally & morally.
  • @cgasparino Charles Gasparino on x
    Maybe I'm missing something, but just about everyone in crypto has been losing money lately https://www.nytimes.com/...
  • @bluegeorgia @bluegeorgia on x
    “Three days before his inauguration, Mr. Trump unveiled a second Trump-branded investment — the $TRUMP memecoin. 'It's time to celebrate everything we stand for: WINNING!' Mr. Trump wrote on social media. ‘Join my very special Trump community. GET YOUR $TRUMP NOW!’ But that [imag…
  • @kbandersen Kurt Andersen on x
    He suckered a million people into losing an average of $3800 apiece buying into just one of his crypto scams, $TRUMP, on which he made $636 million. https://www.nytimes.com/... [image]
  • @deanbaker13 Dean Baker on bluesky
    Looks like Trump taxed 1 million of his supporters $4k each www.nytimes.com/2026/07/04/u...
  • @jeffjarvis@mastodon.social Jeff Jarvis on mastodon
    Now *this* is the way to report this story: Trump made his billion while his investors (read: his marks) lost $3.8 billion.  That is theft.  —  Gift link.  —  Nearly a Million Investors Lost a Total of $3.8 Billion on Trump Crypto Coin https://www.nytimes.com/...
  • r/technology r on reddit
    Nearly a Million Investors Lost a Total of $3.8 Billion on Trump Crypto Coin
  • r/nytimes r on reddit
    Nearly a Million Investors Lost a Total of $3.8 Billion on Trump Crypto Coin
  • r/CzechCoconutCommunity r on reddit
    Nearly a Million Investors Lost a Total of $3.8 Billion on Trump Crypto Coin...📉💸🔥
  • r/WallStreetbetsELITE r on reddit
    1Million MAGAts lost $3.8 Billion to one of Trumps grifts that he personally profited $636 Million.
  • r/CriticalMineralBulls r on reddit
    Nearly a Million Investors Lost a Total of $3.8 Billion on Trump Crypto Coin
  • r/politics r on reddit
    Nearly a Million Investors Lost a Total of $3.8 Billion on Trump Crypto Coin