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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Sources: after Trump nixed an AI EO on May 21, US officials navigated internal strife and chaotic talks; early AI model access was the most contentious issue

Donald Trump killed an executive order to regulate AI.  Now, administration officials and AI executives are trying to figure …

Wired

Context & Ripple Effects

Earlier coverage showed the administration considering a working group and pre-release model-vetting procedures, while reporting from the transition period highlighted resistance within Trump’s coalition to a more formal AI executive order.

The cancellation shifts the policy fight from designing an oversight mechanism to resolving individual disputes, with access to early AI models emerging as the central fault line. Later coverage characterizes this approach as case-by-case intervention rather than a clear rule set.

First-order effects

  • The proposed executive-order route to AI oversight is halted, leaving officials and AI companies without the contemplated framework for evaluating models before release.
  • Disagreement over who should receive early model access becomes the immediate operational issue in administration-industry talks.

Second-order effects

  • AI developers and prospective government or outside access recipients must navigate ad hoc negotiations rather than a published vetting process, increasing uncertainty around model-release decisions.
  • The absence of a centralized framework gives competing factions more opportunity to shape outcomes through individual interventions, rather than through a settled oversight standard.

Third-order effects

  • If this pattern persists, US AI governance may develop through selective, case-specific decisions instead of a durable centralized regulator or pre-release review regime.
  • That can make policy more contingent on political access and internal administration bargaining, while leaving the boundaries for frontier-model access and oversight unsettled.

The trend: This is one data point in a shift from prospective, rules-based AI oversight toward discretionary federal intervention in individual AI-policy disputes.

Discussion

  • @hugolowell Hugo Lowell on bluesky
    NEW: The Trump admin is facing internal strife over resurrecting an AI exec order  —  Susie Wiles and Scott Bessent are pushing for an EO, because Treasury needs that before any talks with China.  But David Sacks remains opposed @WIRED.com latest w @mzeff.bsky.social www.wired.co…
  • @leahfeiger Leah Feiger on bluesky
    Donald Trump killed an executive order to regulate AI.  Now, administration officials and AI executives are trying to figure out if there's anything left to piece back together.  —  read @hugolowell.bsky.social and @mzeff.bsky.social: