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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Sources: US authorities in recent months have issued multiple information requests to Kalshi and Polymarket, many tied to wagers on events in Iran and Venezuela

Regulators are seeking information from Kalshi and Polymarket over wagers tied to political events and military operations

Wall Street Journal

Discussion

  • NewsMax.com Michael Katz on x
    Prediction Markets Face Federal Insider Probe
  • @momcjl @momcjl on bluesky
    If they can track sexual predators via computers, they can track the people who are placing these bets.  —  Why aren't they?
  • @rhinovian @rhinovian on bluesky
    China, Iran, North Korea, and Russia don't need spies anymore.  All they have to do is analyze prediction markets to get advance notice of U.S. military plans.  People used to be hung for this.  Remember Benedict Arnold? www.cbsnews.com/news/betting...
  • r/economy r on reddit
    Suspicious Betting in Washington Is on the Rise—and Authorities Are Playing Catch-Up
  • @nilsgilman Nils Gilman on bluesky
    Whoever is behind this needs to go to jail for a long time www.cbsnews.com/news/betting...
  • amuse on 𝕏 Alexander Muse on x
    Skin in the Game: How Real Money Exposes the Political Polling Cartel's Methodological Corruption
  • r/centrist r on reddit
    Suspected insider accounts net $2.4 million on Polymarket Iran war bets with 98% win rate, firm finds