Discussion

• @congressmanraja Congressman Raja Krishnamoorthi on x

  Just now, this came out - a soldier involved with the capture of Maduro bet on this very operation on polymarket...this soldier probably just copying what he's seeing elsewhere —> the culture of insider trading and corruption starts at the top and is permeating everywhere and

• @kaitlancollins Kaitlan Collins on x

  “A US special forces solider involved in the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was arrested for allegedly betting on that operation, netting him $400,000 in profits, according to a person familiar with the matter.” https://www.cnn.com/...

• @caronpolymarket @caronpolymarket on x

  Turns out it was not Barron Trump, but a random soldier that made $400,000 on the Maduro capture. While Barron Trump was obviously a joke I'm glad my post exposing this account and Polymarkets research got him locked up

• @robert_e_kelly Robert E Kelly on x

  If I were that guy, I would literally argue that White House employees have done the same throughout the Iran War, so what's the big deal?

• @rudygiuliani Rudy W. Giuliani on x

  🚨 BREAKING NEWS: A U.S. special forces soldier who participated in the January raid that captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro has been arrested on allegations he profited more than $400,000 by betting on a prediction market, ABC News reports. According to sources, the

• @kyledcheney Kyle Cheney on x

  An Army soldier involved in the Maduro operation has been charged in SDNY for using classified information to game predictions on Polymarket. [image]

• @kysportsradio Matt Jones on x

  This is crazy. There have to be regulations for these prediction markets. It is ripe for corruption on a massive level

• @mattzeitlin Matthew Zeitlin on x

  How about we reform veterans benefits and let troops insider trade on Polymarket, win win

• @stevelovesammo Steve on x

  The DOJ has arrested a Special Forces soldier that bet $33,000 that Venezuelan President Maduro would be captured hours before President Trump announced it. Why? This is EXACTLY what Congress does with insider trading.

• @dcinvestor @dcinvestor on x

  oof, pretty sure prediction markets are gonna be made illegal at some point

• @zacksjerryrig @zacksjerryrig on x

  @TheJusticeDept Now do the whitehouse.

• @lookner Steve Lookner on x

  “Federal investigators believe the commando [who was involved in the capture of Maduro] bet more than $33,000 on the prediction market Polymarket just hours before President Donald Trump announced Maduro's capture in January” https://abcnews.com/...

• @robbystarbuck Robby Starbuck on x

  Free him and drop the charges. Don't want troops to bet on their own success? Then tell them and lay out clearer rules. It's all basically the Wild Wild West right now. I also have no issue with them betting on their success. If the mission failed he would have lost his $, right?

• @angertab Matt Tardio on x

  Remember the Polymarket bet on Maduro for over $30k? As suspected, a service member. Silly rabbit, if you want to profit from insider information, you have to run for Congress first.

• @jimsciutto Jim Sciutto on x

  He seems to miss the danger of tipping off an upcoming U.S. military operation in which the soldier was involved.

• @ktoropin Konstantin Toropin on x

  The docs say Van Dyke: -joined the Army in '08; made Master Sgt. in '23 -assigned to U.S. Army Special Forces and stationed at Ft Bragg -"involved in the planning and execution" of the Maduro raid -in a photo “wearing U.S. military fatigues, and carrying a rifle” after the raid

• @billmelugin_ Bill Melugin on x

  BREAKING: DOJ announces it has arrested a US Special Forces soldier who took part in the raid that captured Venezuelan dictator Nicolas Maduro after the soldier allegedly pocketed $400,000 by betting more than $30,000 on Maduro's removal on Polymarket. Name: GANNON KEN VAN DYKE

• @angry_staffer @angry_staffer on x

  Wow. You've gotta be smarter than this, people.

• @sdnynews @sdnynews on x

  “As alleged, Van Dyke used classified information about a U.S. military operation to place bets in prediction markets and profit more than $400,000,” said U.S. Attorney Jay Clayton. “You cannot profit at the expense of national security.” @FBI @NewYorkFBI https://www.justice.gov/…

• @heerjeet Jeet Heer on x

  The transformation of society into a universal casino continues apace.

• @repluna Rep. Anna Paulina Luna on x

  So is the DOJ going to arrest members of congress for insider trading? Because if not this seems awfully hypocritical. Just saying.

• @jenniferjjacobs Jennifer Jacobs on x

  A special forces soldier who was involved in the capture of Venezuela' Maduro was arrested today for allegedly pocketing more than $400,000 by betting on his removal from office, @CBSNews' @NicoleSganga reports. Investigators believe the soldier bet more than $33,000 on the

• @patronisfl Congressman Jimmy Patronis on x

  I think this guy should be pardoned. If the DOJ isn't prepared to go after every member of Congress who's profiting off insider trading, then this feels like selective enforcement, not justice. I don't support what he did, and he should absolutely have to give back every dollar

• @jasonmiller Jason Miller on x

  Fantastic work here by @SDNYnews U.S. Attorney Jay Clayton! There's zero tolerance with anyone compromising national security in prediction markets or anywhere else! “U.S. Soldier in Maduro Raid Is Charged With Making Bets on Former Leader's Ouster” Federal authorities allege

• @sporadica @sporadica on x

  WHAT IS THE CHARGE? FRONT-RUNNING AN OVERSEAS COUP D'ÉTAT? A SUCCULENT VENEZUELAN COUP D'ÉTAT? [image]

• @jimsciutto Jim Sciutto on x

  This would be far more than a financial crime. This could have put US forces at risk by potentially sending signals to adversaries of upcoming operations.

• @kaiserloengramm Kaiser von Lohengramm on x

  He bet on himself in a game of skill. The operation could've failed, could've gone south, even with his foreknowledge of it happening. He bet that he would succeed and he did. This is vastly less egregious than typical insider trading. Most of Congress gets rich through more

• @redsteeze Stephen L. Miller on x

  The way I see it he was just betting on himself.

• @outfrontcnn Erin Burnett OutFront on x

  A US special forces soldier, who was involved in the Maduro raid, is arrested. He allegedly won $400,000 by betting on Polymarket that Maduro would be ousted, days before the raid even happened. @KaraScannell's report tonight: [video]

• @marionawfal Mario Nawfal on x

  🚨 BREAKING: 🇺🇸🇻🇪 A U.S. special forces soldier who helped capture Maduro just got arrested for betting on his own mission. -Master Sergeant Gannon Ken Van Dyke, active duty at Fort Bragg -Wagered $32,000 on Polymarket that Maduro would be “out” by January -Made 13 bets [image]

• @bonillajl Jorge Bonilla on x

  Not condoning it but the soldier was simply following precedent [image]

• @fbi @fbi on x

  CASE UPDATE from @NewYorkFBI: The Justice Department announced the unsealing of an indictment charging Gannon Ken Van Dyke, a U.S. Army soldier, with unlawful use of confidential government information for personal gain, theft of nonpublic government information, commodities [ima…

• @rory_johnston Rory Johnston on x

  But don't worry, folks—I'm sure no one in the admin is making bets on the oil market.

• @saletan Will Saletan on x

  The modern gambling industry, with all its tentacles, will prove to be the biggest scandal of our time. Every TV network, host, athlete, and celebrity associated with it will bear a mark of shame.

• @richardhanania Richard Hanania on x

  Betting on his own raid! I can't lie, this is kind of cool.

• @acyn @acyn on x

  Reporter: There was a special forces soldier involved in the capture of Maduro who was arrested on suspicion of insider trading. Are you concerned that federal employees are betting on these reduction markets and potentially getting rich? Trump: Well, I don't know about it. Was […

• @skooookum @skooookum on x

  feels like that's fair play. what's he gonna do, not capture Maduro?

• @fbidirectorkash @fbidirectorkash on x

  This involved a U.S. soldier who allegedly took advantage of his position to profit off of a righteous military operation. Thank you to our agents, Intel teams, and great partners @TheJusticeDept who protected our war fighters. Investigation ongoing.

• @govpritzker Governor JB Pritzker on x

  The call's coming from inside the house. Betting on an operation you're on? That's the type of insider trading that prediction markets allow — and exactly the danger we're trying to prevent in Illinois.

• @sethmagaziner Seth Magaziner on x

  Ban this. Now.

• @catturd2 @catturd2 on x

  Good grief. WTF?

• @newyorkfbi @newyorkfbi on x

  U.S. Soldier Charged With Using Classified Information To Profit From Prediction Market Bets @SDNYnews ADIC James C. Barnacle, Jr.: “Gannon Ken Van Dyke allegedly betrayed his fellow soldiers by utilizing classified information for his own financial gain. Van Dyke profited more […

• @hissgoescobra John Jackson on x

  If you're a soldier who does insider trading, tisk-tisk, you will get the book thrown at you. If you're making 400 times that same amount through market manipulation of tariffs, ceasefires, and other secret information, they won't event investigate it.

• @thejusticedept @thejusticedept on x

  U.S. Soldier Charged With Using Classified Information To Profit From Prediction Market Bets Gannon Ken Van Dyke allegedly made more than $400,000 trading on polymarket on the basis of classified information regarding the timing of a U.S. military operation to capture Nicolás [im…

• @denvercunning BryanCunningham on x

  If these allegations are true, short of actually selling/giving ops details to the enemy, there's little more dishonorable and horrific (on top of being illegal).

• @bobbyallyn Bobby Allyn on x

  ABC News reporting the Feds have arrested a special forces soldier involved in the capture of Maduro who made $400,000 on Polymarket https://abcnews.com/...

• @philipdbunn Philip Bunn on x

  I'm seeing a lot of people saying he did nothing wrong, and I'm sure some of it is memes, but if you don't see the problem with people using classified information to place public bets and enrich themselves, you're truly beyond hope.

• @cappyarmy Chris Cappy on x

  Every member of congress and the senate trading the stock market should be SCREAMING advocating for a pardon for the US special forces soldier arrested for trading on polymarket about Maduro capture.

• @adamkinzinger Adam Kinzinger on x

  Honestly, this is good. Hopefully now you'll look at the leaders of the administration? Ya we all know

• @robertscotthorton Scott Horton on bluesky

  The special services soldier appears not to have understood that insider betting on Polymarket and similar fora is reserved as a privilege for members of the president's family and immediate entourage. abcnews.com/US/doj-arres...

• @masnick.com Mike Masnick on bluesky

  Been waiting for this.  I know that some people never expected anyone to get charged over this but it was too blatant...  Question is will Don Jr. get him a pardon...  www.cnn.com/2026/04/23/p...

• @clydepowell @clydepowell on bluesky

  www.cnn.com/2026/04/23/p...  The indictment unsealed Thursday, Master Sgt. Gannon Ken Van Dyke opened an account in late December on Polymarket, one of the best-known prediction markets.  He wagered about $32,000 that Maduro would be “out” by January.  The bet was a long-shot.

• @paleofuture Matt Novak on bluesky

  “Federal investigators believe the commando bet more than $33,000 on the prediction market Polymarket just hours before President Donald Trump announced Maduro's capture in January, the sources said.”

• r/neoliberal r on reddit

  DOJ arrests soldier who made $400,000 betting on Maduro's removal: Sources

• r/CryptoCurrency r on reddit

  DOJ arrests soldier who made $400,000 betting on Maduro's removal

• r/UnderReportedNews r on reddit

  “A US special forces solider involved in the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was arrested for allegedly betting on that operation …

• r/technology r on reddit

  DOJ arrests soldier who made $400,000 betting on Maduro's removal: Sources

• r/army r on reddit

  DOJ arrests soldier who made $400,000 betting on Maduro's removal: Sources

• r/TrueAnon r on reddit

  DOJ arrests soldier who made $400,000 betting on Maduro's removal: Sources

• r/Buttcoin r on reddit

  DOJ arrests soldier who made $400,000 betting on Maduro's removal: Van Dyke allegedly tried to hide the evidence of the trades by attempting …

• r/politics r on reddit

  DOJ arrests soldier who made $400,000 betting on Maduro's removal: Sources

• r/Global_News_Hub r on reddit

  US special forces soldier arrested after allegedly winning $400,000 on Maduro raid

• r/Destiny r on reddit

  US special forces soldier arrested after allegedly winning $400,000 on Maduro raid through Polymarket

• r/Military r on reddit

  DOJ arrests soldier who made $400,000 betting on Maduro's removal: Sources

• r/AirForce r on reddit

  US special forces soldier arrested after allegedly winning $400,000 on Maduro raid |  CNN Politics

• r/politics r on reddit

  US special forces soldier arrested after allegedly winning $400,000 on Maduro raid

• r/news r on reddit

  DOJ arrests soldier who made $400,000 betting on Maduro's removal: Sources

• r/USNEWS r on reddit

  DOJ arrests soldier who made $400,000 betting on Maduro's removal

• r/nottheonion r on reddit

  DOJ arrests soldier who made $400,000 betting on Maduro's removal: Sources

• r/NewsWithJingjing r on reddit

  US arrests soldier who made $400,000 betting on Venezuelan President Maduro's kidnapping

• r/inthenews r on reddit

  US special forces soldier arrested after allegedly winning $400,000 on Maduro raid |  CNN Politics

• r/AirForce r on reddit

  DOJ arrests Servicemen who made $400,000 betting on Maduro's removal.

• Paul Cottee Paul Cottee on linkedin

  The Eddie Murphy Rule Strikes Back  —  It had to happen.  The SDNY (DOJ) is also involved.  It'll be interesting to see if any of the other notable recent …

• r/USMC r on reddit

  U.S. Soldier Charged With Using Classified Information To Profit From Prediction Market Bets

• r/BillBurr2 r on reddit

  DOJ arrests soldier who made $400,000 betting on Maduro's removal

• @laurenleharper Lauren Harper on bluesky

  It's kind of amazing someone making $400,000 gambling with classified info is the headline and not the fact that we shouldn't have abducted a foreign head of state.

• r/PowerfulJRE r on reddit

  U.S. Soldier Charged With Using Classified Information To Profit From Prediction Market Bets

• @aaronjmars @aaronjmars on x

  holy fuck, a hair dryer at a Paris airport broke Polymarket weather markets & made someone $34,000 richer - polymarket was settling Paris temperature bets on a single Météo France sensor sitting near the Charles de Gaulle runway perimeter - basically unguarded - the guy bought [i…

• @plusevanalytics @plusevanalytics on x

  What actual crime did the Paris hair dryer guy commit? He didn't vandalize the sensor.

• @moneygurusumit Sumit Kapoor on x

  Imagine explaining this in 2015 🤯 A trader allegedly used a hair dryer to manipulate a Paris airport weather sensor... to win bets on Polymarket. Made $35,000. Météo-France filed a criminal complaint. So weather can be manipulated on Polymarket... what else? Drop your thoughts [i…

• @wublockchain Wu Blockchain on x

  Polymarket's Paris Weather Market Manipulated via Physical Hair Dryer Tampering to Net $34,000 According to Le Monde, An individual exploited an unguarded Météo France temperature sensor near the runway at Charles de Gaulle (CDG) Airport by using a portable heating [image]

• @thisisksa Karan Singh Arora on x

  This might be the wildest trade you'll hear all week 💀 Polymarket had a temp bet using one sensor near a Paris airport, market expected 18°C. One guy bet on 22°C, tracked down the exact sensor, showed up... and heated it with a hair dryer. 👀 Reading jumps to 22°C → he cashes [ima…

• @aakashgupta Aakash Gupta on x

  Every crypto whitepaper for the last decade has warned about the oracle problem. Someone finally demonstrated it for $34,000 using a hair dryer. Polymarket settles Paris temperature bets on a single Météo France weather station at Charles de Gaulle. Louvered enclosure on a pole,

• @anupkaphle Anup Kaphle on x

  Absolutely wild.

• Alison Taylor Alison Taylor on linkedin

  How to make $34,000 with your hairdryer:  —  Step 1: get into Polymarket betting on the daily maximum temperature in Paris …

• Georg Zoeller Georg Zoeller on linkedin

  Example number 999 of why prediction markets need to be banned (like in Singapore).  “Probing” usually amounts to nothing and protecting the “integrity of the prediction markets” here is a bad idea. …

• Joe Wertz Joe Wertz on linkedin

  Technicians at METEO FRANCE investigated and found suspected tampering with weather sensors at Charles de Gaulle International Airport …

• r/neoliberal r on reddit

  France Probes Weather Data Tampering After Surge in Polymarket Bets

• r/europe r on reddit

  France Probes Weather Data Glitch After Surge in Polymarket Bets