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VOICE ARCHIVE

Bobby Allyn

@bobbyallyn
177 posts
2026-03-08
When Shayne's Manhattan apartment was raided by the FBI, Kalshi teamed up with influencers to make memes about it; Kalshi's prediction market coalition never invited Polymarket; both companies have pending trademark applications for “the world's largest prediction market”
2026-03-08 View on X
NPR

A look at the rivalry between Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour and Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan, who have competing visions for how prediction markets should grow

There's one word Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour is loath to say: Polymarket.  —  Like a politician swiping his never-to-be-spoken …

View original
Tarek has compared his beef w Shayne to the rivalry between Tom Brady & Eli Manning.  Tarek strenuously avoids saying or writing the word “Polymarket”  —  An ex-Kalshi employee told me:  —  “Kalshi does hate getting confused for Polymarket, but when Polymarket is confused with Kalshi, it's good for them”
2026-03-08 View on X
NPR

A look at the rivalry between Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour and Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan, who have competing visions for how prediction markets should grow

There's one word Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour is loath to say: Polymarket.  —  Like a politician swiping his never-to-be-spoken …

View original
At the center of the prediction markets boom is a bitter rivalry between two 20-something billionaire fintech bros vying for their companies to be distinct, despite everyone constantly lumping them together  —  “For them, it's existential,” a former Kalshi employee told me  —  www.npr.org/2026/03/06/n...
2026-03-08 View on X
NPR

A look at the rivalry between Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour and Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan, who have competing visions for how prediction markets should grow

There's one word Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour is loath to say: Polymarket.  —  Like a politician swiping his never-to-be-spoken …

View original
2026-03-07
“Yo brother, legal team confirmed that we can't work with minors rn” is the best way to summarize this article, an impressively deep look at Kalshi and Polymarket's relentless nationwide campaign to recruit college students and get them hooked to prediction markets early.  [embedded post]
2026-03-07 View on X
NPR

A look at the rivalry between Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour and Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan, who have competing visions for how prediction markets should grow

There's one word Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour is loath to say: Polymarket.  —  Like a politician swiping his never-to-be-spoken …

View original
At the center of the prediction markets boom is a bitter rivalry between two 20-something billionaire fintech bros vying for their companies to be distinct, despite everyone constantly lumping them together  —  “For them, it's existential,” a former Kalshi employee told me  —  www.npr.org/2026/03/06/n...
2026-03-07 View on X
Wall Street Journal

How prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket are aggressively targeting college students through fraternity partnerships and student influencers

The House always wins.  The same is not true for the Frat House.Ethan Gach /Kotaku:Kalshi Reportedly Paid 15-Year-Old Gamer To Promote Online Betting Until Its Legal Department Sai...

View original
“Yo brother, legal team confirmed that we can't work with minors rn” is the best way to summarize this article, an impressively deep look at Kalshi and Polymarket's relentless nationwide campaign to recruit college students and get them hooked to prediction markets early.  [embedded post]
2026-03-07 View on X
Wall Street Journal

How prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket are aggressively targeting college students through fraternity partnerships and student influencers

The House always wins.  The same is not true for the Frat House.Ethan Gach /Kotaku:Kalshi Reportedly Paid 15-Year-Old Gamer To Promote Online Betting Until Its Legal Department Sai...

View original
Tarek has compared his beef w Shayne to the rivalry between Tom Brady & Eli Manning.  Tarek strenuously avoids saying or writing the word “Polymarket”  —  An ex-Kalshi employee told me:  —  “Kalshi does hate getting confused for Polymarket, but when Polymarket is confused with Kalshi, it's good for them”
2026-03-07 View on X
NPR

A look at the rivalry between Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour and Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan, who have competing visions for how prediction markets should grow

There's one word Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour is loath to say: Polymarket.  —  Like a politician swiping his never-to-be-spoken …

View original
At the center of the prediction markets boom is a bitter rivalry between two 20-something billionaire fintech bros vying for their companies to be distinct, despite everyone constantly lumping them together  —  “For them, it's existential,” a former Kalshi employee told me  —  www.npr.org/2026/03/06/n...
2026-03-07 View on X
NPR

A look at the rivalry between Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour and Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan, who have competing visions for how prediction markets should grow

There's one word Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour is loath to say: Polymarket.  —  Like a politician swiping his never-to-be-spoken …

View original
When Shayne's Manhattan apartment was raided by the FBI, Kalshi teamed up with influencers to make memes about it; Kalshi's prediction market coalition never invited Polymarket; both companies have pending trademark applications for “the world's largest prediction market”
2026-03-07 View on X
NPR

A look at the rivalry between Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour and Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan, who have competing visions for how prediction markets should grow

There's one word Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour is loath to say: Polymarket.  —  Like a politician swiping his never-to-be-spoken …

View original
2026-03-06
At the center of the prediction markets boom is a bitter rivalry between two 20-something billionaire fintech bros vying for their companies to be distinct, despite everyone constantly lumping them together  —  “For them, it's existential,” a former Kalshi employee told me  —  www.npr.org/2026/03/06/n...
2026-03-06 View on X
Wall Street Journal

How prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket are aggressively targeting college students through fraternity partnerships and student influencers

Kalshi and Polymarket pour money into deals with social-media influencers and students, who try to parlay rumors, insider information into cash; 'We know this shouldn't be allowed'

View original
“Yo brother, legal team confirmed that we can't work with minors rn” is the best way to summarize this article, an impressively deep look at Kalshi and Polymarket's relentless nationwide campaign to recruit college students and get them hooked to prediction markets early.  [embedded post]
2026-03-06 View on X
Wall Street Journal

How prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket are aggressively targeting college students through fraternity partnerships and student influencers

Kalshi and Polymarket pour money into deals with social-media influencers and students, who try to parlay rumors, insider information into cash; 'We know this shouldn't be allowed'

View original
2026-02-26
A MrBeast spokesman: “We have a longstanding policy in place against employees using proprietary company information in order to safeguard the highest standards and ethics throughout our organization,” adding that employees are banned from trading on prediction markets in MrBeast-related markets.
2026-02-26 View on X
NPR

Kalshi says it has suspended an editor for MrBeast and a former GOP California gubernatorial candidate for insider trading, its first public enforcement action

An editor who works for YouTube's biggest creator, MrBeast, has been suspended from the prediction market platform Kalshi …

View original
2026-02-25
Reason why this is so head-spinning: If Anthropic doesn't back down by Friday, the Trump admin is basically saying it will either deem Anthropic national security essential OR a national security risk...
2026-02-25 View on X
Axios

Sources: DOD told Anthropic it will invoke the Defense Production Act or label Anthropic a “supply chain risk”, if not given unfettered Claude access by Friday

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth gave Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei until Friday evening to give the military unfettered access …

View original
Reason why this is so head-spinning: If Anthropic doesn't back down by Friday, the Trump admin is basically saying it will either deem Anthropic national security essential OR a national security risk...
2026-02-25 View on X
Reuters

Source: Anthropic has no intention of easing Claude usage restrictions for military purposes, following Dario Amodei's meeting with Pete Hegseth

Artificial intelligence lab Anthropic has no intention of easing its usage restrictions for military purposes, a person familiar with the matter …

View original
2026-01-24
China is outlawed from having an “operational relationship” w TikTok, but the finalized deal keeps ByteDance a minority investor & lets them own the algorithm.  Far from a clean break from China.  —  What it DOES do is hand Larry Ellison's Oracle, the Emiratis and Silver Lake enormous sway over the app.
2026-01-24 View on X
New York Times

ByteDance strikes a deal with a group of non-Chinese investors to create a new TikTok US entity and avoid a federal ban, concluding a six-year legal saga

Here's all you need to knowAnkita Chakravarti /Moneycontrol:TikTok avoids US ban after sealing last-minute dealJoy Chakravarty /Arabian Business:Abu Dhabi's MGX buys 15% stake to k...

View original
China is outlawed from having an “operational relationship” w TikTok, but the finalized deal keeps ByteDance a minority investor & lets them own the algorithm.  Far from a clean break from China.  —  What it DOES do is hand Larry Ellison's Oracle, the Emiratis and Silver Lake enormous sway over the app.
2026-01-24 View on X
Wired

TikTok users in the US were presented with a new privacy policy; the changes were part of the app's ownership transition and now allow precise location tracking

According to its new privacy policy, TikTok now collects more data on its users, including their precise location …

View original
2026-01-23
China is outlawed from having an “operational relationship” w TikTok, but the finalized deal keeps ByteDance a minority investor & lets them own the algorithm.  Far from a clean break from China.  —  What it DOES do is hand Larry Ellison's Oracle, the Emiratis and Silver Lake enormous sway over the app.
2026-01-23 View on X
New York Times

ByteDance strikes a deal with a group of non-Chinese investors to create a new TikTok US entity and avoid a federal ban, concluding a six-year legal saga

TikTok said on Thursday that its Chinese owner, ByteDance, had struck a deal with a group of non-Chinese investors to create a new U.S. TikTok …

View original
2026-01-07
“Meanwhile, economists have long warned about so-called “assassination markets” — bets that could, in theory, reward violence by tying payouts to deaths or attacks.”  —  www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...
2026-01-07 View on X
Financial Times

Polymarket is disputing that the US mission to capture Nicolás Maduro constituted an “invasion”, refusing to pay out bets on a contract with $10.5M in wagers

Prediction market disputes US raid amounted to an invasion in fight over more than $10.5mn in wagers

View original
2025-12-19
I think attn should turn to what the content moderation regime looks like under this new entity. @anupamchander.bsky.social told me “it is possible that the American TikTok might end up censoring or hiding speech that is permissible on the global TikTok platform” www.npr.org/2025/12/18/n...
2025-12-19 View on X
The Hollywood Reporter

Memo: the TikTok US deal is set to close on Jan. 22; terms include retraining the recommendation algorithm on US user data and Oracle overseeing data protection

Revamped ‘TikTok USA’ Expected Next Month Wesley Hilliard / AppleInsider : US investors to close deal on 50% ownership of TikTok January 22 Sports Business Journal : TikTok sale be...

View original
One interesting aspect of the TikTok deal is: There will now be an American version of TikTok overseen by Larry Ellison's Oracle, PE firm Silver Lake and UAE-backed MGX, and then a second version of TikTok controlled by ByteDance for the rest of the world.
2025-12-19 View on X
Axios

Internal memo: TikTok has signed a deal to sell its US unit; Oracle, Silver Lake, MGX will collectively own 45% of the US entity, and ByteDance will retain ~20%

TikTok has signed a deal to divest its U.S. entity to a joint venture controlled by American investors, per an internal memo seen by Axios.

View original