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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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A look at the rivalry between Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour and Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan, who have competing visions for how prediction markets should grow

There's one word Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour is loath to say: Polymarket.  —  Like a politician swiping his never-to-be-spoken …

NPR Bobby Allyn

Discussion

  • @seanokane Sean O'Kane on bluesky
    a great dynamic to have at the center of a booming social crisis [embedded post]
  • @bobbyallyn Bobby Allyn on bluesky
    Tarek has compared his beef w Shayne to the rivalry between Tom Brady & Eli Manning.  Tarek strenuously avoids saying or writing the word “Polymarket”  —  An ex-Kalshi employee told me:  —  “Kalshi does hate getting confused for Polymarket, but when Polymarket is confused with Ka…
  • @bobbyallyn Bobby Allyn on bluesky
    When Shayne's Manhattan apartment was raided by the FBI, Kalshi teamed up with influencers to make memes about it; Kalshi's prediction market coalition never invited Polymarket; both companies have pending trademark applications for “the world's largest prediction market”
  • r/NPR r on reddit
    2 young billionaires are behind the prediction market boom Polymarket.  They hate each other
  • r/technology r on reddit
    2 young billionaires are behind the prediction market boom.  They hate each other
  • @kylascan Kyla Scanlon on x
    Yo brother legal team confirmed that we can't work with minors rn [image]
  • @kylascan Kyla Scanlon on x
    Young people seem to be (1) gambling a lot (2) targets for prediction market companies and (3) using these platforms primarily to find ways to do insider trading! [image]
  • @wexler Nu Wexler on x
    “Yo brother, legal team confirmed that we can't work with minors rn,” a Kalshi employee wrote to the user in messages reviewed by the Journal. “Kinda sad tbh.” https://www.wsj.com/...
  • @byklong Katherine Long on x
    NEW: A fraternity that counts Jeff Bezos' stepson as a member under investigation for insider trading. Polymarket-branded beer pong sets. $20,000 in funding to open a prediction market club. Here's how prediction markets are gaining ground on campus. https://www.wsj.com/...
  • @bobbyallyn Bobby Allyn on bluesky
    At the center of the prediction markets boom is a bitter rivalry between two 20-something billionaire fintech bros vying for their companies to be distinct, despite everyone constantly lumping them together  —  “For them, it's existential,” a former Kalshi employee told me  —  ww…
  • @bobbyallyn Bobby Allyn on bluesky
    “Yo brother, legal team confirmed that we can't work with minors rn” is the best way to summarize this article, an impressively deep look at Kalshi and Polymarket's relentless nationwide campaign to recruit college students and get them hooked to prediction markets early.  [embed…
  • @davepell Dave Pell on bluesky
    Prediction markets are actively trying to turn college students into gambling addicts.  They are some of the worst companies in America.  It's pathetic that news organizations and other institutions are doing business with them.  —  www.wsj.com/business/med...
  • @jessefelder Jesse Felder on bluesky
    “You can never start those kids too early on sports betting,” Nigel Eccles, the co-founder and former CEO of online sportsbook FanDuel, mockingly wrote. www.wsj.com/business/med...
  • @klong Katherine Long on bluesky
    A fraternity that counts Jeff Bezos' stepson as a member under investigation for insider trading.  Parties with Polymarket-branded beer pong sets.  $20,000 in funding to open a prediction market club.  —  Here's how prediction markets are gaining ground on college campuses. www.w…
  • @cwarzel Charlie Warzel on bluesky
    there are plenty of moral/ethical reasons to not like prediction markets but the thing that's most interesting to me is the way that they are a machine that destroys trust.  by democratizing insider trading everyone assumes the fix is always in.  it's corrosive!  www.theatlantic.…
  • r/technology r on reddit
    A Technology for a Low-Trust Society |  Polymarket and Kalshi promise the wisdom of the crowds.  They deliver something very different
  • @wildebees Wessel van Rensburg on bluesky
    Two competing visions: Kalshi's Mansour wants to ‘bang our head against the wall until you regulate us’ whilst Polymarket's Coplan runs a crypto like offshore operation skirting U.S. rules.  The regulatory-compliant vs crypto-style approaches will define how this industry develop…