Discussion

• @davidsirota David Sirota on x

  Polymarket has created a market that would monetize a nuclear attack amid increasing concerns that bets are happening among government insiders who can make military decisions. [image]

• @polymarketstory @polymarketstory on x

  Polymarket just deleted the nuclear attack market Reason? If the prediction becomes true... the winner might not exist anymore [image]

• @gaykittycorps Lisa on x

  “unregulated gambling causes nuclear war” is such prescient dystopian writing that I honestly can't even be mad. torment nexus final boss

• @nathanjrobinson Nathan J Robinson on x

  we're heading for the abyss aren't we

• @goodpoliticguy Mac on x

  i think everyone involved in this should be thrown into a volcano

• @iranianwario @iranianwario on x

  They need to hang everyone who works at Polymarket and Kalshi

• @ripplebrain @ripplebrain on x

  I'm calling on all of you to begin producing more Lunatic Asylum memes. There simply aren't enough of them to rotate through, we have a strategic shortage.

• @marxianangel @marxianangel on x

  The cultural revolution that America needs for humanity to survive would make Mao's cultural revolution look tame in comparison.

• @davidsirota David Sirota on x

  This could be the opening scene of Fallout, happening minutes before the birthday party.

• @alanrmacleod Alan MacLeod on x

  At this poin, Polymarket is literally a threat to the survival of the planet. It needs to be shut down.

• @thegreenebj Bryce Greene on x

  So unbearably bleak

• @thewapplehouse Kristi Yamaguccimane on x

  They've made it legal to bet on mass murder.

• @girldrawsghosts @girldrawsghosts on x

  It's actually really scary how many people seem to think that nuclear war is something that is going to be survivable.

• @mattxiv Matt on x

  “capitalism breeds innovation” and the innovation is people who decide if there's a nuclear war can do insider trading and make money on the nuclear war. yay❤️

• @hasanthehun @hasanthehun on x

  this is worse than any dystopia we couldve imagined

• @frogs4girls @frogs4girls on x

  “we got so addicted to gambling we nuked ourselves into oblivion to make 5 million dollars” would be such a bleak ending to humanity

• @jeuasommenulle JohannesBorgen on x

  Sorry to bother you in the middle of your Tuesday, but the polymarket for a nuke detonating before June 30th is at 17% This market is full of shameless insiders, so watch for the massive spike. [image]

• @lauramiers Laura Miers on x

  I have a bad feeling. [image]

• @saikatc @saikatc on x

  We need to absolutely ban this.

• @onionweigher @onionweigher on x

  you should delete it because it incentivises nuclear war for any politicians on Polymarket, which is insane

• @goodboy @goodboy on bluesky

  Polymarket is almost too insane for me to wrap my head around.  I didn't believe a world where it existed was unlikely, I just thought we had some runway, culturally.  Like this was 15 years out, at least.  [embedded post]

• @tripgabriel Trip Gabriel on x

  A NYT analysis of Polymarket since June found it was unusual to bet a significant sum that a U.S. strike would happen the next day But on Friday, 150+ accounts bet at least $1k predicting a US strike on Iran by Saturday - suggesting insider trading https://www.nytimes.com/...

• @sam_federman Sam Federman on x

  Wow. It's almost like unregulated prediction markets are a haven for insider trading. Who would've thought?

• @evanhill Evan Hill on x

  NYT finds a surge of Polymarket bets placed in the 24 hours beforehand predicting Iran strikes the next day, indicating insider knowledge. (Funny note: Polymarket hasn't resolved the wager since it can't decide if any strikes hit prior to Feb. 28 ET) https://www.nytimes.com/...

• @alex_panetta Alexander Panetta on x

  You have to wonder whether traditional laws apply here: breach of trust, or national-security law.

• @hissgoescobra John Jackson on x

  You're telling me 150 fucking accounts rolled 7 the same day on some obtuse shit like a war kicking off? Come on.

• @shashj Shashank Joshi on bluesky

  “Over the weekend, Bubblemaps flagged six Polymarket accounts that had made a total of $1.2 million betting on the timing of the Iran strike, noting that most of the accounts were relatively new and had specifically traded on a strike by Saturday”  —  www.nytimes.com/2026/03/03/u…

• r/politics r on reddit

  How Anonymous Bettors Cashed In on the Iran Strike, Just Hours Before It Happened

• NewsMax.com Solange Reyner on x

  Polymarket Bettors Cashed In Before Iran Strike

• @drewharwell.com Drew Harwell on bluesky

  New: I talked to the traders who bet Khamenei would die.  —  One, an Israeli ex-pat, would've won $63,000 before Kalshi froze the bet: “I was booking my trip to Courchevel.”  —  “American commercial immorality on steroids,” @chrismurphyct.bsky.social told me  —  www.washingtonpos…

• @sstapczynski Stephen Stapczynski on x

  LNG has gone mainstream. This is on Polymarket [image]

• r/nottheonion r on reddit

  Polymarket Pulls Bet on Nuclear Detonation in 2026

• @mikeisaac Rat King on x

  always fascinated to understand what prediction market redlines are polymarket, apparently: we're fine with death markets, but not nuke markets [image]