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TEXXR

Chronicles

The story behind the story

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The DOD has added China's largest chipmaker SMIC to its blacklist of alleged Chinese military companies

Reuters

Context & Ripple Effects

This move escalates a campaign that was already underway: in late September the US imposed export restrictions on SMIC, citing an "unacceptable risk" of diversion to military end use. The DOD designation adds a reputational and procurement layer on top of those controls — US companies are now formally on notice about dealings with China's largest foundry.

The designation also proved to be a template rather than a one-off: within two weeks Washington moved to add ~80 more Chinese companies, including SMIC itself, to the trade blacklist, and by 2024 the same DOD list had grown to flag firms like YMTC, Megvii, and lidar maker Hesai.

First-order effects

  • SMIC now carries a formal 'Chinese military company' label, raising legal and reputational barriers for US firms and investors touching its supply chain even where export licenses are still granted.
  • US toolmakers, materials suppliers, and fabless customers of SMIC face immediate due-diligence burdens and pressure to requalify alternative foundry capacity.

Second-order effects

  • Commerce's follow-on action adding ~80 companies shows the designation funneling into broader trade restrictions, widening the blast radius from one foundry to a large slice of China's tech sector.
  • Beijing's response channels point inward: relationships indicate requirements pushing chipmakers toward at least 50% domestically made equipment for new capacity, plus multibillion-dollar state venture funds backing early-stage hard-tech startups — substitution economics accelerate under sanctions.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, the DOD list functions as a standing screening regime that periodically absorbs whole categories of Chinese tech firms — YMTC, Megvii, and Hesai's 2024 additions suggest chips are only one node — entrenching a bifurcated semiconductor supply chain with parallel US and Chinese ecosystems.

The trend: Washington is layering financial and procurement designations on top of export controls to progressively wall off Chinese chipmakers from the Western supply chain, while China responds by mandating domestic equipment and funding homegrown alternatives.

Discussion

  • @bethanyallenebr B. Allen-Ebrahimian on x
    The U.S. has added four additional Chinese companies to its list of companies that are accused of working with the Chinese military. Among those 4 are China National Offshore Oil Corp (CNOOC) and Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC). https://www.defense.gov/...
  • @clairejchu Claire Chu on x
    Four new additions, which will be affected by the EO prohibiting US investment in Chinese military companies: - China Nat'l Offshore Oil Corp - Semiconductor Manufacturing Int'l Corp - China Construction Tech Co - China Int'l Engineering Consulting Corp https://www.defense.gov/..…
  • @fakewelt @fakewelt on x
    The expanded blacklist is seen as part of a bid to cement Trump's tough-on-China legacy and to box Biden, the Democratic president-elect who takes office on Jan. 20, into hardline positions on Beijing amid bipartisan anti-China sentiment in Congress https://www.reuters.com/...