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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Internal document: Netflix estimates Squid Game will create almost $900M in value for the company; 87M viewers finished the series in the first 23 days

Bloomberg Lucas Shaw

Context & Ripple Effects

Netflix had already turned a South Korean series into a global chart leader, with coverage describing it as evidence for a franchise strategy built on content from around the world. Later reporting on Netflix’s South Korean operation tied that strategy to backing ideas broadcasters considered too risky and licensing local content internationally.

The internal value estimate puts a concrete company-level benchmark behind that programming approach: a locally produced hit can matter not only as a viewing draw, but as an unusually valuable asset in Netflix’s content portfolio.

First-order effects

  • Netflix gains an internal benchmark for judging Squid Game’s return relative to the cost and opportunity cost of exclusive programming, while the 87 million completions establish unusually broad audience follow-through.
  • Squid Game becomes a stronger reference point for Netflix’s teams deciding which non-English-language projects deserve global promotion and franchise development.

Second-order effects

  • Netflix’s South Korean content partners gain evidence that local projects can be distributed and monetized at global scale, reinforcing the appeal of development and overseas licensing arrangements.
  • Other streaming services seeking differentiated exclusives face a clearer competitive case for sourcing locally made shows with international franchise potential rather than relying solely on established English-language formats.

Third-order effects

  • If Netflix can repeatedly convert local programming into worldwide franchises, streaming competition shifts further toward global development networks and the ability to market a title across regions.
  • The relevant content decision becomes less about a show’s domestic audience alone and more about its potential to justify exclusive rights and global distribution.

The trend: Streaming platforms are using globally distributed local originals as franchise-building assets, not merely regional catalog additions.

Discussion

  • @mikeisaac Rat King on x
    another fascinating leak on user numbers picked up by Lucas Netflix is big mad and now threatening Bloomberg over it https://www.bloomberg.com/... https://twitter.com/...
  • @notionport William Johnson on x
    13.6 million watched GoT finale 130 million people have watched Squid Game https://www.bloomberg.com/...
  • @edmundlee Edmund Lee on x
    .@Lucas_Shaw cracks a big part of @netflix mystery with inside data on #SquidGame: • generated $900 million in value • cost $21 million • 132mm accounts watched at least 2 mins, most ever • “efficiency” rating of 42x (1x rating means break-even) https://www.bloomberg.com/...
  • @carnage4life Dare Obasanjo on x
    Netflix finally gets the full big tech experience where disgruntled employees leak internal data to their favorite journalists. I'm just halfway through Squid Game but I can clearly see the $1B in value to Netflix given it's quality and meme factor. https://www.bloomberg.com/...
  • @kimmasters Kim Masters on x
    Netflix: “Look over there!” https://twitter.com/...
  • @rover829 Vincent Lee on x
    “The South Korean show, about indebted people in a deadly contest for a cash prize, generated $891.1 million in impact value, a metric the company uses to assess the performance from individual shows. The show cost just $21.4 million to produce — about $2.4 million an episode.” h…
  • @kellybourdet Kelly Bourdet on x
    netflix metrics are incredibly closely held. very rare to get a picture into how shows actually perform. fascinating timing to get such specific insight leaked https://twitter.com/...
  • @markham @markham on x
    Netflix thinks Squid Game will have close to a billion-dollar impact for the company. The series cost $21.4 million to make. https://twitter.com/... https://twitter.com/...
  • @lucas_shaw Lucas Shaw on x
    Some Saturday night news: Real Netflix viewership data. How many people have started Squid Game, how many people have finished it and how much Netflix thinks it will make from the Korean smash. https://www.bloomberg.com/...