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Pathmatics: the top 10 advertisers on Twitter spent just $7.6M on ads in the past two months, down 89% from the $71M spent from September to October 2022

Bloomberg

Context & Ripple Effects

Pathmatics has been running the scoreboard on Twitter's ad collapse since the takeover: by mid-December, roughly 70% of the platform's top 100 pre-takeover spenders had gone dark, and by late January the firm estimated monthly revenue from the top 1,000 advertisers had fallen more than 60%, from around $127M in October to just over $48M.

The new figure extends that curve at the very top of the book: the ten biggest spenders put in only $7.6M over two months versus $71M in September–October 2022 — an 89% drop for the accounts that anchor any ad business. It matters because ads were essentially all of Twitter's revenue (~89% of 2021's $4B), so this is not a segment shrinking, it is the core business.

First-order effects

  • Twitter's largest remaining advertisers — Apple chief among them, whose November purchases of $1M+ came after Musk said Apple had 'mostly stopped' buying — have cut two-month spend to $7.6M collectively, deepening a hole against a Q2 2022 ad base of $1.08B per quarter.
  • Advertisers who paused after the takeover are confirming the pause is durable, not seasonal: the decline compounds the December exodus rather than reversing it.

Second-order effects

  • Rival platforms absorb the shifted budgets within a social market eMarketer already flagged as slowing sharply (3.6% US growth in 2022 vs. 2021) — so Twitter's losses are now zero-sum share gains for Facebook and peers, as they were when Facebook's own top-100 spend dipped 12% YoY back in 2020.
  • Measurement firms are consolidating their role as the industry's arbiter: Sensor Tower's April read showed the top 50 at $83M with Mars, AT&T, Volkswagen, and Stellantis still absent, giving brands independent numbers to justify staying out.

Third-order effects

  • If brand-safety-driven pullbacks keep being validated by third-party trackers, social advertising structurally reprices around verified measurement and moderation posture — platforms can no longer assume big-brand budgets return on their own, and revenue diversification stops being optional for ad-dependent networks.

The trend: Third-party ad intelligence is turning Twitter's post-takeover advertiser exodus into a durable reallocation of big-brand social budgets toward competitors.

Discussion

  • @kenklippenstein Ken Klippenstein on x
    “From September to October of last year, the top 10 advertisers on Twitter spent $71 million on ads, according to estimates from Pathmatics. In the past two months, that figure dropped to just $7.6 million, a decline of 89%, the research firm said.” https://www.bloomberg.com/...
  • @goldengateblond Shauna on x
    it would appear we've entered the era of finding out https://twitter.com/...
  • @tomcoates Tom Coates on x
    I keep saying this - any sensible product person working at Twitter knows exactly what would make the company profitable: reliably enforced moderation and Musk apologizing for his behavior and then shutting the fuck up. https://www.bloomberg.com/...
  • @joshtpm Josh Marshall on x
    🤣🤣🤣 this is why most of the ads you now see in twitter look like they might run on Fox News or late night on a non network local tv station https://twitter.com/...
  • @goodpoliticguy @goodpoliticguy on x
    what's the opposite of get woke go broke? be a reactionary freak see the advertisers flee https://twitter.com/...
  • @kurtwagner8 Kurt Wagner on x
    Five months after Elon's takeover, and many advertisers and media agencies are still worried about coming back because of Elon's unpredictable antics... w/ @aishacounts https://www.bloomberg.com/...
  • @rakeshlobster Rakesh Agrawal on x
    But selling blue check marks will make up for it. My high end estimate for blue check marks is $3.5M *annually*. https://twitter.com/...
  • @tomaxwell Thomas Maxwell on x
    “From September to October of last year, the top 10 advertisers on Twitter spent $71 million on ads. In the past two months, that figure dropped to just $7.6 million, a decline of 89%” https://twitter.com/...
  • @tomaxwell Thomas Maxwell on x
    Twitter recently made it possible for advertisers to prevent their campaigns from displaying around specific accounts. Specific accounts some brands might want to avoid include Elon's https://twitter.com/...