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Antenna: Netflix added ~2.6M new US users in July, more than any other paid streaming service but down 26% from June 2023; ~23% signed up for Netflix's ad tier

Bloomberg Lucas Shaw

Context & Ripple Effects

July follows Netflix's unusually strong June signup surge, which related coverage tied to its password-sharing crackdown. The month-over-month decline therefore moderates a spike rather than erasing Netflix's lead in new paid-streaming signups.

The ad plan's 23% share marks a material step up from the 9% ad-tier share of US signups reported in November, showing that the lower-priced option was becoming a meaningful acquisition route.

First-order effects

  • Netflix led paid streaming services in US July additions, even as signups fell from June's elevated level.
  • Nearly one-quarter of July signups chose Netflix's ad tier, expanding the portion of new customers entering through an advertising-supported plan.

Second-order effects

  • Rival streaming services face a clearer benchmark: compete for new subscribers against Netflix's combination of scale and an ad-supported entry point, rather than relying solely on ad-free subscription offers.
  • Netflix's growth mix shifts attention from total signups to the economics of ad-tier customers, including whether advertising can support lower subscription pricing.

Third-order effects

  • If ad-supported plans continue taking a larger share of acquisition, streaming competition may increasingly turn on hybrid subscription-and-advertising models rather than subscription growth alone.
  • The June-to-July slowdown also illustrates a broader subscription-growth gap: policy-driven signup bursts can lift acquisition, but sustaining growth requires continuing reasons for households to subscribe.

The trend: Streaming services are moving toward hybrid ad-supported tiers as a central tool for acquiring subscribers in a more mature market.

Discussion

  • @df2506 Daniel Fugate on x
    Yes, they are adding subscribers NOW, but next year when they have no programs because they let the strike go on for far too long, Netflix will start losing subscribers. People want actual programs to watch.
  • @russellhfilm Russell on x
    if they want to convince the unions they can't afford to pay, they probably shouldn't put out reports like this
  • @lucas_shaw Lucas Shaw on x
    Netflix spends another month as the fastest-growing streaming service in the US, thanks to the password sharing crackdown. https://www.bloomberg.com/...
  • @loudmouthjulia Julia Alexander on x
    Some cool data from Antenna! 1) NFLX password sharing crackdown saw ~128% increase in June subs, 25.7% in July. We'll see if it leads to material revenue for Netflix in Q3. 2) More US subs picking ad tier. Elimination of basic will likely see 12% split in favor of ad-supported [i…