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TEXXR

Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Solana drops ~10% to around $10, as bitcoin and ether saw modest declines, over concerns that large holders could offload the token; SOL is down 94% in 2022

Solana, the cryptocurrency backed by fallen crypto mogul Sam Bankman-Fried, tumbled on Wednesday amid concerns that large holders may be about to offload the token.

Bloomberg Sidhartha Shukla

Context & Ripple Effects

Solana's slide to ~$10 is the third leg of a collapse that began when the token crashed past $14 alongside bitcoin and ether in November after FTX's failure exposed how much of SOL's value rested on its most famous backer. Bloomberg's related reporting shows FTX and Alameda bought more than 58 million SOL tokens, so the market is now pricing in what happens when those coins move.

The tumble lands just as co-founders Anatoly Yakovenko and Raj Gokal are publicly working to separate Solana from Sam Bankman-Fried's stain — a repair job that every double-digit down day makes harder.

First-order effects

  • Large SOL holders — including whatever remains of the FTX and Alameda positions of 58M+ tokens — sit on assets whose sale would itself crater the price, trapping them between realized losses and illiquidity.
  • Yakovenko and Gokal's decoupling campaign takes direct damage: at $10, SOL is down 94% for 2022, and the token's price keeps contradicting the founders' message that the chain stands apart from Bankman-Fried.

Second-order effects

  • Developers and projects building on Solana face a shrinking treasury-and-token-incentive playbook, since grants priced in SOL buy far less than they did even a month ago.
  • Other tokens with concentrated insider or exchange-failure exposure get re-rated by the same logic, as traders apply Solana's 'who holds this coin' discount across the altcoin market.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, crypto markets structurally reprice tokens by sponsor concentration rather than sector beta — a chain's fate decoupling from bitcoin's modest declines and tracking instead the solvency of its patrons.
  • That said, the corpus also shows the trade can reverse violently: by late April 2023 SOL had rallied about 125% from December 31, outpacing bitcoin's 78% gain, suggesting distressed-holder overhang can clear faster than fundamentals imply.

The trend: Crypto is shifting from broad-market correlation to sponsor-specific pricing, where a token's value tracks the health and holdings of its backers rather than bitcoin's cycle.

Discussion

  • @aeyakovenko @aeyakovenko on x
    Does incorrect information that is spread and refuted within 48 hours have negative impact
  • @nouriel Nouriel Roubini on x
    Crypto extinction under way... from bad to ugly and fugly... Solana Tumbles Again, Bringing Crypto Token's 2022 Plunge to 94% https://www.bloomberg.com/...
  • @steventdennis Steven Dennis on x
    If you've never heard of the Crypto token “Solana” count yourself lucky. It's now down 94% this year. https://www.bloomberg.com/...
  • @drsoldmangachs @drsoldmangachs on x
    I finally received my Nov investor statement from Multicoin Capital. Over the past 11 months the hedge fund is down a whopping 90%, and they're still holding a bag of toxic shit. Time to close the fund down guys? Oh, and congrats on barely outperforming your benchmark $SOL 🙄 http…
  • @iamdcinvestor @iamdcinvestor on x
    for people longing or adding SOL through the bear and planning to hold for 2+ years, what is your thesis and thoughts on unique value proposition? no “i'm contrarian because people don't like it” and/or “just hoping only for reflexive rebound because oversold” responses please
  • @ameensol @ameensol on x
    ladies and gentlemen, the flippening 🦄🦄🦄 congratulations @Uniswap https://twitter.com/...
  • @sabby_eth @sabby_eth on x
    SOL is officially in single digits 🥲 https://twitter.com/...
  • @itstylersays @itstylersays on x
    Sol might actually go to 0
  • @cheguevoblin Che on x
    I'll buy all the SOL you have right now at $3 go ahead, sell me all you want then go fuck off
  • @skellymode_sol @skellymode_sol on x
    Steady lads! Deploying more capital https://twitter.com/...
  • @alex_valaitis Alex Valaitis on x
    1) @SBF_FTX released on bail 2) Alameda wallets become active again 3) Tokens like $SOL, $MATIC, $APT begin dumping hard Doesn't feel like a coincidence does it?
  • @219_eth @219_eth on x
    Selling sol to pay legal fees for pumping sol The circle of liiiiiffffeeee https://twitter.com/...
  • @icebergy_ @icebergy_ on x
    are they really selling SOL for legal fees?
  • @functi0nzer0 Laurence on x
    > Multicoin > all in SOL Dawg it's in your name
  • @cryptodude999 @cryptodude999 on x
    $SOL Only 9.99$ Still looks very ugly https://twitter.com/...
  • @davidgokhshtein David Gokhshtein on x
    Solana isn't going to make it.
  • @wisdommatic @wisdommatic on x
    NFTs are not really fun when the price of the native token keeps going down. Why are you celebrating the floor going up when you bought the nft when sol was at $50 now it's $9?
  • @seanmsuvie @seanmsuvie on x
    I fixed sol https://twitter.com/...
  • @degeneratenews @degeneratenews on x
    BREAKING: $SOL DROPPED BELOW $10 SOURCE: @CoinMarketCap https://twitter.com/...
  • @tree_of_alpha @tree_of_alpha on x
    Single-digit Solana is still one digit too many. Doesn't mean it can't dead cat bounce here, but I'm not planning on longing any soon. https://twitter.com/...
  • @hsakatrades @hsakatrades on x
    Sol chart looking like the billionaires are calling for redeeming their money from the fund. And they're not taking it in kind this time. https://twitter.com/... https://twitter.com/...
  • @karl_0x Karl on x
    Solana and Near are the biggest losers across all metrics (user activity, tvl and market cap) in the past months https://twitter.com/...
  • @biggreendildo1 @biggreendildo1 on x
    Congrats to $SOL, the Biggest Green Dildo of the Hour, +2% —> http://www.biggreendildo.com/ #SOL #crypto https://twitter.com/...
  • @apedurden Tyler on x
    When your friend starts driving at 150mph and says “everything is in Solana bro” https://twitter.com/...
  • @hedgedhog7 @hedgedhog7 on x
    $SOL now at single digits. Those of you in the old school who believe this is a bubble simply have not understood the new mathematics of the Blockchain, or you did not cared enough to try. Bubbles are mathematically impossible in this new paradigm. So are corrections and all else
  • @pc_pr1ncipal PC Principal on x
    Solana nuking 21% after Sam got access to his laptop got me feeling a little Alex-Jonesy [I wasn't wrong about Solana making a comeback, SBF simply scammed me] https://twitter.com/...
  • @neon___glow @neon___glow on x
    Single digit $SOL fellas. $3 is programmed. Full circle.
  • @hackermanace Ace on x
    $sol and $lunc are not coming back. You can literally use another chain if your thing is muh cheap fees, muh speed. Next bull run they will be good trades NOT good things to dca, btfd or w.e narrative your being spilled by crypto twitter. Gamble if you must tho.
  • @whalecointalk @whalecointalk on x
    #Solana has plummeted 21% right after Sam was released and got access to his laptop. 🔎 Will #SOL ecosystem ever recover from this? 📉
  • @alexjmingolla @alexjmingolla on x
    SOL maxis: “Solana is far bigger than DeGods, we don't need that dumb project” Frank: “I'm taking DeGods off Solana” Solana: https://twitter.com/...