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TEXXR

Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Micron reports Q1 revenue down ~47% YoY to $4.09B and plans to reduce its workforce by ~10% over the next year; Micron had 48,000 employees in September 2022

Ian King / Bloomberg :

Bloomberg Ian King

Context & Ripple Effects

Micron had already moved from weaker sales to supply restraint: its September results came with a 30% cut to total capital spending and nearly 50% cut to wafer-fab equipment spending, followed by lower DRAM and NAND wafer production in November. The workforce plan extends that correction from factory output and equipment orders into operating costs.

The reported Q1 decline shows the contraction was accelerating rather than limited to the prior quarter. Micron’s shares nevertheless closed up 18%, indicating investors responded to the scale of the planned cost actions.

First-order effects

  • Micron will reduce its workforce by about 10% over the next year, cutting its cost base after revenue fell to $4.09B.
  • Micron’s immediate correction now spans employment, wafer production, and capital spending, while its shares rose 18% on the announcement.

Second-order effects

  • Wafer-fab equipment suppliers face less demand from Micron as the company follows its earlier sharp equipment-spending reduction with further cost controls.
  • Micron’s production curbs and job reductions reinforce a slower-demand environment for DRAM and NAND customers, following its November 20% wafer-production reduction.

Third-order effects

  • If the revenue contraction persists, Micron’s sequence of output, capex, and workforce cuts points to a memory downturn being managed through supply discipline rather than capacity expansion.
  • The episode highlights the semiconductor capacity lag: investment and staffing commitments must be reset after demand weakens, making recovery timing central to future capacity decisions.

The trend: Micron’s cuts are part of the contracted semiconductor cycle, in which memory producers tighten output, investment, and payroll as demand falls.

Discussion

  • @emposts Eric Martin on x
    Ever since Robert Noyce and Jack Kilby invented the integrated circuit more than sixty years ago, semiconductors have been a story of booms and busts. A year after chips were nearly impossible to obtain, the cycle looks headed back toward bust... https://www.bloomberg.com/...