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TEXXR

Chronicles

The story behind the story

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CoinGecko: normalized exchange volume for Crypto.com has dropped 91% over the past year, 90% for Huobi, 77% for FTX, 75% for Coinbase, and 57% for Binance

Bad ad or bad timing?  Either way, trading is down big.  —  Whichever version of the Latin proverb you choose …

Decrypt Stacy Elliott

Context & Ripple Effects

Exchange volume has been eroding all year, and unevenly: CryptoCompare had already tracked [[a:981757|Coinbase's spot share sliding from 10.7% to 6.3% of top-15 volume between January and July 2022]]. CoinGecko's year-over-year read now shows the damage is industry-wide — Crypto.com down 91%, Huobi 90%, FTX 77%, Coinbase 75%, Binance 57% — with even the market leader not spared.

The timing matters because this snapshot lands days before FTX's collapse triggers the Binance acquisition deal and a public-market selloff in which Coinbase fell 10.78% and Robinhood 19.04% in a single session. The volume data reads as a leading indicator of exactly the fragility that event exposed.

First-order effects

  • Fee revenue contracts hardest at the mid-tier names — Crypto.com and Huobi at 90%+ declines face the sharpest squeeze on the trading income that funds their marketing and operations.

Second-order effects

  • Binance absorbs relative share even while its own volume falls 57%, repeating the consolidation pattern visible when Coinbase lost ground through 2022 — weaker rivals exit or shrink faster than the leader.

Third-order effects

  • Volume drawdowns are becoming cyclical rather than episodic — comparable to 2021's ~40% May-to-June drop on top exchanges — pushing the exchange business toward fewer, larger survivors whose economics depend on non-retail revenue lines.

The trend: Crypto exchange volume swings with each market cycle while market share consolidates toward a shrinking set of leaders, leaving mid-tier venues structurally exposed.

Discussion

  • @carnage4life Dare Obasanjo on x
    The curse of the Super Bowl. It's the year 2000 all over again. https://twitter.com/...
  • @carnage4life Dare Obasanjo on x
    The ad felt over the top. In hindsight, it was a sign of the top. https://decrypt.co/...