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“Welcome to hell, Elon”: Musk won't be able to grow Twitter users and revenue without enormous compromises and realizing that content moderation is the product

Now It's Elon Musk's Turn Benj Edwards / Ars Technica : How to download a backup copy of your Twitter data (or deactivate your account) Peter Kafka / Vox : The Big Tech boom is over and Wall Street knows it Mike Masnick / Techdirt : Can We Count The Ways In Which Elon Is Going To Regret Owning Twitter? M. Abimbola Mosobalaje / Hacker Noon : Will Elon Musk Truly Free the Bird? Sheera Frenkel / New York Times : Elon Musk moves to form a content moderation council for Twitter. Tweets: Nilay Patel / @reckless : Sorry bro https://www.theverge.com/... Elon Musk / @elonmusk : Dear Twitter Advertisers https://twitter.com/... Drew Harwell / @drewharwell : New: An emboldened cast of trolls has spewed racist slurs and Nazi memes onto Twitter in the hours since @elonmusk freed the bird. Musk says no “free-for-all hellscape,” but hate is already rampant: One post screaming the n-word has more than 4,000 likes https://www.washingtonpost.com/ ... @zubymusic : @elonmusk Yes. Also, Twitter should find a way to compensate/monetisation partner with its top creators. Like every other social media app. A small % create all the high engagement content and keep the site active. Matt Mullenweg / @photomatt : This is an unfortunately good summary of why running a social network is so hard, as I've learned with @tumblr. I am wishing Twitter the best and also hope this doesn't slow down Tesla or SpaceX, which I think are critical to the future. https://www.theverge.com/... Ted Cruz / @tedcruz : The most important development for Free Speech in decades. https://twitter.com/... Courtney Milan / @courtneymilan : *nods* I don't think enough people realize how HARD content moderation is. Too little destroys your user base and reduces it to a crowd of edgy assholes. Too much destroys your user base and reduces it to nothing. https://twitter.com/... Jay Rosen / @jayrosen_nyu : A+ real talk from @reckless to the new owner of Twitter. https://www.theverge.com/... Recommended. https://twitter.com/... @ibjiyongi : ‘you can write as many polite letters to advertisers as you want, but you cannot reasonably expect to collect any meaningful advertising revenue if you do not promise those advertisers “brand safety.”’ https://www.theverge.com/... Elon Musk / @elonmusk : @ZubyMusic Absolutely Walt Mossberg / @waltmossberg : A really great, no-holds-barred, analysis by @reckless of what @elonmusk really bought when he bought @Twitter and how it will likely affect him and his other companies. It's a must read. https://twitter.com/... Mike Murphy / @mcwm : imagine paying 44 billion dollars to let some rubes tweet @martinsfp : “You cannot reasonably expect to collect any meaningful ad revenue if you do not promise advertisers ‘brand safety’.. you have to ban racism, sexism, transphobia... speech that is totally legal in the United States but reveals people to be total assholes” https://www.theverge.com/... Taylor Lorenz / @taylorlorenz : “I know you're just like me: not hot enough for Instagram, too lazy for Substack. Twitter is our perfect sweet spot. This is our heaven. I can't lose this. We can't.” perfect piece by @katienotopoulos https://www.buzzfeednews.com/ ... Molly Jong-Fast / @mollyjongfast : I hope Elon Musk reads this https://twitter.com/... Katie Notopoulos / @katienotopoulos : This is me at my most vulnerable, admitting I actually deeply enjoy using Twitter, the most embarrassing thing to say out loud https://www.buzzfeednews.com/ ... Chriscreama Warren / @film_girl : I've had 4 or 5 people text me this link today, so I want to share it again. Just fantastic work from @reckless on what feels like the definitive assessment of what Elon is walking into and what he did to himself https://www.theverge.com/... Jeff Jarvis / @jeffjarvis : Rarely have I seen a single piece receive such immediate, universal acclaim. If all hot takes were half this good! Question for @reckless: Curious whether this flowed onto the keyboard or you've been stewing this bird for weeks. Either way, great work. https://www.theverge.com/... https://twitter.com/... Alex Stamos / @alexstamos : Musk made himself the personal face of Twitter's content policies at an important time in the US, with several cases pending at SCOTUS. He seems to be learning why Zuck paid $250M+ to build an external Oversight Board. https://twitter.com/... @kashhill : This is v good: “The asset is the user base: hopelessly addicted politicians, reporters, celebrities, and other people who should know better but keep posting anyway. You! You, Elon Musk, are addicted to Twitter. You're the asset. You just bought yourself for $44 billion dollars” https://t.co/hWStZKSRew @harryh : @pt Oh sure, I have some nits too. Was speaking mostly about the fact that Elon is now in charge of a bunch of essentially unsolvable political/moderation problems where no matter what he does a lot of people will be mad and doing that job is really not very fun at all. Farhad Manjoo / @fmanjoo : ah. It's the Facebook board. Outsource those tough decisions to a committee! world's most successful inventors does it again https://t.co/B07H2e7RRC Dan Primack / @danprimack : What if Elon allows everyone to use Twitter (even the worst people), but returns the platform exclusively to its original use case: only tweeting about what you had for breakfast. Henry Blodget / @hblodget : Yes! “Freedom of speech” is an important concept when limited to what it legally means: The gov't can't throw you in jail for criticizing it. But being forced to listen to uncivil idiots rant and hurl insults is “a hellscape” that most decent people and advertisers avoid. https://twitter.com/... Alejandra Caraballo / @esqueer_ : This is what Musk has emboldened and exactly what free speech absolutism on social media results in, nazi trolls. https://www.washingtonpost.com/ ... https://twitter.com/... @robmanuel : Anyway, good luck moving from naughtiest kid in class, to headmaster, and finding out the hard way, the reason the teacher has so many irritating rules is because managing loads of people is very hard. Herding kittens and all that. @mmfa : Blue chip advertisers have to decide if this is where they want to put millions of dollars - hard to see it being worth it. https://www.mediamatters.org/ ... https://twitter.com/... Parker Molloy / @parkermolloy : Honestly, if you're a brand and you spend a cent advertising on Twitter from here on out, you deserve to be associated with this sort of stuff. https://twitter.com/... Brooke Binkowski / @brooklynmarie : Absolutely predictable. Great job all around everybody https://twitter.com/... Mike Masnick / @mmasnick : Yes, people, @vijaya was one of the most important defenders of free speech around. Here are some receipts. https://www.techdirt.com/... Kristin Chirico / @lolacoaster : If you are feeling a certain way this morning about Twitter's new overlord, here is a lovely, big heaping pile of shadenfreude https://twitter.com/... Michael Hobbes / @rottenindenmark : I have no doubt that Elon will apply the same intellectual rigor to complicated free speech issues that be brought to solving urban traffic. https://www.theverge.com/... Charlie Warzel / @cwarzel : I am sure Musk (who is already writing exec speak letters to advertisers) will know to handle this with aplomb without upsetting the racists who see him as their bird app liberator. he's a rocket scientist after all! https://twitter.com/... Charles Arthur / @charlesarthur : Fantastic piece. These bits in particular. https://twitter.com/... https://twitter.com/... Andy Baio / @waxpancake : Elon Musk wants to run a thriving, profitable social network with little content moderation, a thing that's literally impossible, unleashing a world of hurt on himself. A $44 billion self-own. https://www.theverge.com/... Alison Pitt / @adastra1930 : This Verge piece is a great articulation of why Twitter isn't what you think it is. Like Amazon is not a retail company, Apple is not a computer company and Google is not a search engine. Also this line: “the Supreme Court, ...a group of uncool weirdos with lifetime appointments” https://twitter.com/... Mike Masnick / @mmasnick : Fuck. Here's what I wish I was clever enough to write. This is pitch perfect. https://t.co/JMoa7gGbZW @reclaimthenethq : Twitter wasn't even growing *with* compromises. https://twitter.com/... Mike Elgan / @mikeelgan : Hey, Elon: “You can make all the promises about “free speech” you want, but the dull reality is that you still have to ban a bunch of legal speech if you want to make money.” Let THAT sink in. https://www.theverge.com/... https://twitter.com/... Scott Lowe / @scottlowe : If there's any solace to be found in Musk buying Twitter, it's that it's certain to be a nightmare dumpster fire for him and his other interests. @reckless perfectly summarizes why: https://twitter.com/... Frank X. Shaw / @fxshaw : Super clear analysis by @reckless. https://twitter.com/... Joanna Stern / @joannastern : “You're the asset. You just bought yourself for $44 billion dollars.” https://twitter.com/... Richard Lawler / @rjcc : The $44 billion Twitter Blue subscription https://twitter.com/... Charlie Warzel / @cwarzel : “You! You, Elon Musk, are addicted to Twitter. You're the asset. You just bought yourself for $44 billion dollars."https://t.co/lirXNyCGBO

The Verge Nilay Patel

Context & Ripple Effects

This closes an arc the coverage has tracked all year: Twitter's board handed Musk the company in April without a clear plan for fixing revenue, profit, or user growth, and the deal closed into a market where analysts already expected just 4.5% growth for 2022 amid macro weakness. The Washington Post's August framing — a broken business model at odds with the platform's freewheeling nature — is the thesis this piece sharpens.

What changed on day one of ownership is that Musk started testing that thesis in public: a 'Dear Twitter Advertisers' letter, a move toward a content moderation council, and moderation changes that immediately drew racist slurs and Nazi memes onto the platform.

First-order effects

  • Advertisers face an immediate brand-safety decision: observers warn brands may withhold spending after the moderation shifts, hitting the ad revenue Musk needs to service the acquisition.
  • Twitter's own response — forming a content moderation council — concedes the article's core claim that moderation decisions can no longer be made unilaterally if users and advertisers are to stay.

Second-order effects

  • Big ad buyers like Apple, Amazon, and Google become de facto moderators by proxy: their spend-or-withhold choices will set the real boundaries of speech policy regardless of what the council decides.
  • Rival platforms positioned as brand-safe alternatives gain a recruiting window for both advertisers and high-profile users alienated by the troll surge.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, ownership of a social platform becomes a lesson in the product being moderation itself — the November coverage of Musk charging $8 while telling users what they can say shows the town-square pitch failing against that reality, and every owner after him inherits the same trade-off between freewheeling growth and advertiser-grade safety.

The trend: Social platforms are learning that content moderation is not overhead but the core product, and ownership changes now get judged by whether the new owner accepts that constraint.

Discussion

  • Vox Peter Kafka on x
    The Big Tech boom is over and Wall Street knows it
  • @reckless Nilay Patel on x
    Sorry bro https://www.theverge.com/...
  • @elonmusk Elon Musk on x
    Dear Twitter Advertisers https://twitter.com/...
  • @drewharwell Drew Harwell on x
    New: An emboldened cast of trolls has spewed racist slurs and Nazi memes onto Twitter in the hours since @elonmusk freed the bird. Musk says no “free-for-all hellscape,” but hate is already rampant: One post screaming the n-word has more than 4,000 likes https://www.washingtonpos…
  • @zubymusic @zubymusic on x
    @elonmusk Yes. Also, Twitter should find a way to compensate/monetisation partner with its top creators. Like every other social media app. A small % create all the high engagement content and keep the site active.
  • @photomatt Matt Mullenweg on x
    This is an unfortunately good summary of why running a social network is so hard, as I've learned with @tumblr. I am wishing Twitter the best and also hope this doesn't slow down Tesla or SpaceX, which I think are critical to the future. https://www.theverge.com/...
  • @tedcruz Ted Cruz on x
    The most important development for Free Speech in decades. https://twitter.com/...
  • @courtneymilan Courtney Milan on x
    *nods* I don't think enough people realize how HARD content moderation is. Too little destroys your user base and reduces it to a crowd of edgy assholes. Too much destroys your user base and reduces it to nothing. https://twitter.com/...
  • @jayrosen_nyu Jay Rosen on x
    A+ real talk from @reckless to the new owner of Twitter. https://www.theverge.com/... Recommended. https://twitter.com/...
  • @martinsfp @martinsfp on x
    “You cannot reasonably expect to collect any meaningful ad revenue if you do not promise advertisers ‘brand safety’.. you have to ban racism, sexism, transphobia... speech that is totally legal in the United States but reveals people to be total assholes” https://www.theverge.com…
  • @mollyjongfast Molly Jong-Fast on x
    I hope Elon Musk reads this https://twitter.com/...
  • @ibjiyongi @ibjiyongi on x
    ‘you can write as many polite letters to advertisers as you want, but you cannot reasonably expect to collect any meaningful advertising revenue if you do not promise those advertisers “brand safety.”’ https://www.theverge.com/...
  • @elonmusk Elon Musk on x
    @ZubyMusic Absolutely
  • @film_girl Chriscreama Warren on x
    I've had 4 or 5 people text me this link today, so I want to share it again. Just fantastic work from @reckless on what feels like the definitive assessment of what Elon is walking into and what he did to himself https://www.theverge.com/...
  • @waltmossberg Walt Mossberg on x
    A really great, no-holds-barred, analysis by @reckless of what @elonmusk really bought when he bought @Twitter and how it will likely affect him and his other companies. It's a must read. https://twitter.com/...
  • @katienotopoulos Katie Notopoulos on x
    This is me at my most vulnerable, admitting I actually deeply enjoy using Twitter, the most embarrassing thing to say out loud https://www.buzzfeednews.com/ ...
  • @mcwm Mike Murphy on x
    imagine paying 44 billion dollars to let some rubes tweet
  • @taylorlorenz Taylor Lorenz on x
    “I know you're just like me: not hot enough for Instagram, too lazy for Substack. Twitter is our perfect sweet spot. This is our heaven. I can't lose this. We can't.” perfect piece by @katienotopoulos https://www.buzzfeednews.com/ ...
  • @jeffjarvis Jeff Jarvis on x
    Rarely have I seen a single piece receive such immediate, universal acclaim. If all hot takes were half this good! Question for @reckless: Curious whether this flowed onto the keyboard or you've been stewing this bird for weeks. Either way, great work. https://www.theverge.com/..…
  • @kashhill @kashhill on x
    This is v good: “The asset is the user base: hopelessly addicted politicians, reporters, celebrities, and other people who should know better but keep posting anyway. You! You, Elon Musk, are addicted to Twitter. You're the asset. You just bought yourself for $44 billion dollars”…
  • @harryh @harryh on x
    @pt Oh sure, I have some nits too. Was speaking mostly about the fact that Elon is now in charge of a bunch of essentially unsolvable political/moderation problems where no matter what he does a lot of people will be mad and doing that job is really not very fun at all.
  • @fmanjoo Farhad Manjoo on x
    ah. It's the Facebook board. Outsource those tough decisions to a committee! world's most successful inventors does it again https://t.co/B07H2e7RRC
  • @danprimack Dan Primack on x
    What if Elon allows everyone to use Twitter (even the worst people), but returns the platform exclusively to its original use case: only tweeting about what you had for breakfast.
  • @hblodget Henry Blodget on x
    Yes! “Freedom of speech” is an important concept when limited to what it legally means: The gov't can't throw you in jail for criticizing it. But being forced to listen to uncivil idiots rant and hurl insults is “a hellscape” that most decent people and advertisers avoid. https:/…
  • @esqueer_ Alejandra Caraballo on x
    This is what Musk has emboldened and exactly what free speech absolutism on social media results in, nazi trolls. https://www.washingtonpost.com/ ... https://twitter.com/...
  • @robmanuel @robmanuel on x
    Anyway, good luck moving from naughtiest kid in class, to headmaster, and finding out the hard way, the reason the teacher has so many irritating rules is because managing loads of people is very hard. Herding kittens and all that.
  • @mmfa @mmfa on x
    Blue chip advertisers have to decide if this is where they want to put millions of dollars - hard to see it being worth it. https://www.mediamatters.org/ ... https://twitter.com/...
  • @parkermolloy Parker Molloy on x
    Honestly, if you're a brand and you spend a cent advertising on Twitter from here on out, you deserve to be associated with this sort of stuff. https://twitter.com/...
  • @brooklynmarie Brooke Binkowski on x
    Absolutely predictable. Great job all around everybody https://twitter.com/...
  • @lolacoaster Kristin Chirico on x
    If you are feeling a certain way this morning about Twitter's new overlord, here is a lovely, big heaping pile of shadenfreude https://twitter.com/...
  • @rottenindenmark Michael Hobbes on x
    I have no doubt that Elon will apply the same intellectual rigor to complicated free speech issues that be brought to solving urban traffic. https://www.theverge.com/...
  • @cwarzel Charlie Warzel on x
    I am sure Musk (who is already writing exec speak letters to advertisers) will know to handle this with aplomb without upsetting the racists who see him as their bird app liberator. he's a rocket scientist after all! https://twitter.com/...
  • @charlesarthur Charles Arthur on x
    Fantastic piece. These bits in particular. https://twitter.com/... https://twitter.com/...
  • @waxpancake Andy Baio on x
    Elon Musk wants to run a thriving, profitable social network with little content moderation, a thing that's literally impossible, unleashing a world of hurt on himself. A $44 billion self-own. https://www.theverge.com/...
  • @adastra1930 Alison Pitt on x
    This Verge piece is a great articulation of why Twitter isn't what you think it is. Like Amazon is not a retail company, Apple is not a computer company and Google is not a search engine. Also this line: “the Supreme Court, ...a group of uncool weirdos with lifetime appointments”…
  • @mmasnick Mike Masnick on x
    Fuck. Here's what I wish I was clever enough to write. This is pitch perfect. https://t.co/JMoa7gGbZW
  • @reclaimthenethq @reclaimthenethq on x
    Twitter wasn't even growing *with* compromises. https://twitter.com/...
  • @mikeelgan Mike Elgan on x
    Hey, Elon: “You can make all the promises about “free speech” you want, but the dull reality is that you still have to ban a bunch of legal speech if you want to make money.” Let THAT sink in. https://www.theverge.com/... https://twitter.com/...
  • @scottlowe Scott Lowe on x
    If there's any solace to be found in Musk buying Twitter, it's that it's certain to be a nightmare dumpster fire for him and his other interests. @reckless perfectly summarizes why: https://twitter.com/...
  • @fxshaw Frank X. Shaw on x
    Super clear analysis by @reckless. https://twitter.com/...
  • @joannastern Joanna Stern on x
    “You're the asset. You just bought yourself for $44 billion dollars.” https://twitter.com/...
  • @rjcc Richard Lawler on x
    The $44 billion Twitter Blue subscription https://twitter.com/...
  • @cwarzel Charlie Warzel on x
    “You! You, Elon Musk, are addicted to Twitter. You're the asset. You just bought yourself for $44 billion dollars."https://t.co/lirXNyCGBO