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Chronicles

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Sources: US banks backing Elon Musk's Twitter deal plan to hold all $13B of debt on their balance sheets rather than selling it, amid a difficult debt market

Truncated timeline to sell $13 billion in debt—and strained market conditions—could make Twitter the biggest ‘hung’ buyout deal of all time

Wall Street Journal

Context & Ripple Effects

The banks behind Elon Musk's revived $44B Twitter acquisition committed roughly $12.5–13B in financing at exactly the moment the market for offloading risky debt dried up, and by late October they had begun transferring the $13B in cash to fund a Friday close. With no window to syndicate, Morgan Stanley and its six co-lenders are now choosing to park the entire loan book on their own balance sheets.

That makes Twitter the largest 'hung' buyout on record — debt underwritten but unsold — and the related coverage shows the exposure was not brief: a year later, seven US banks still held the full $13B and expected a 15%+ (~$2B) hit on eventual sale.

First-order effects

  • Morgan Stanley and the six other lending banks immediately absorb the full $13B of Twitter debt as balance-sheet assets, tying up capital and exposing them to mark-to-market losses while the high-yield market stays shut.
  • Musk's team gets the deal closed without a fire-sale discount on the debt, but inherits lenders who now have a direct financial stake in Twitter's operating turnaround.

Second-order effects

  • With the debt stuck on bank books, Musk's side pursued selling up to $3B in new Twitter equity to repay part of the loan — shifting the deleveraging burden from the debt market to the equity side of the capital structure.
  • Rival banks pricing future large leveraged buyouts must now underwrite hold-to-maturity risk, pushing them to demand bigger equity cushions or walk away from marginal mega-deals.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, buyout financing risk migrates back from syndicated debt investors to bank balance sheets whenever credit markets close, reversing decades of originate-to-distribute discipline and making banks de facto private-equity co-investors in troubled targets.
  • A lender holding $13B of a borrower's debt becomes an active governance participant — the Twitter case points toward banks pressuring portfolio companies' business plans before any resale is possible.

The trend: Leveraged-buyout debt is migrating from syndication markets back onto bank balance sheets when credit windows shut, turning underwriters into long-term holders with losses and governance stakes.

Discussion

  • @shiraovide Shira Ovide on x
    Owned by Musk, Twitter may owe $1 billion a year just on the interest on its debt. In a good year (2019), Twitter generated $1.3 billion in cash from its business. (Last year it was $633 million.) https://www.wsj.com/...
  • @rationalwalk @rationalwalk on x
    Maybe they shouldn't have done business with Elon. Just a thought. https://www.wsj.com/...
  • @dbrauer David Brauer on x
    Musk's terrible (financial, societal) deal for Twitter is gonna tie up $13 billion of bank capital that could be lent for more productive uses. This guy, I tell ya. https://www.wsj.com/... via @WSJ
  • @briannawu Brianna Wu on x
    The stock market, already on VERY shaky ground, forced to absorb blow of 13 BILLION DOLLARS of debt for Musk. Your retirement. Your job. Your 401k. All pushed to the edge of a cliff for a billionaire Twitter addict who got bored with food and sex. https://www.wsj.com/...
  • @carlquintanilla Carl Quintanilla on x
    “.. Twitter could have the dubious distinction of being the biggest so-called hung deal of all time ..” ⁦@WSJ⁩ $TWTR $MS $BAC https://www.wsj.com/...
  • @paultassi Paul Tassi on x
    I know legally and logically no one can stop this at this point but like can somebody please stop this unlike most people I actually like this place and don't want it burned to ash https://twitter.com/...
  • @jamespmcleod James McLeod on x
    I hope y'all are ready for me to do tiktoks because that site starts feeling less problematic than this one. https://twitter.com/...
  • @bobcesca_go Bob Cesca on x
    Get ready for exponentially more white supremacy, bro-science, incel rage, revenge porn, and doxing on this website. https://twitter.com/...