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TEXXR

Chronicles

The story behind the story

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The Biden administration issues sweeping rules that significantly expand the limits on exports to China of chips and tools to make advanced chips and other tech

The U.S. unveiled a set of new regulations Friday that aim to choke off China's access to advanced chips …

Protocol Max A. Cherney

Context & Ripple Effects

These 2022 restrictions are the starting point for a progressively more detailed U.S. control regime. Later coverage shows Washington moving to close technical-threshold workarounds for AI chips and considering a list of Chinese advanced fabs barred from key equipment.

The policy also became a broader supply-chain arrangement: a later rule differentiated full AI-chip access for 18 allies from licensing requirements elsewhere, while subsequent measures targeted chips made by TSMC and other suppliers for China.

First-order effects

  • U.S. suppliers of advanced chips and chipmaking tools face expanded limits on sales to China, while Chinese buyers lose permitted access to the specified technology.
  • China’s advanced-chip production plans become more dependent on equipment and components already inside the country or available outside the new restrictions.

Second-order effects

Third-order effects

  • Export controls are evolving from one-time product bans into managed controls that combine technical thresholds, end-user restrictions, reporting, and coordination with partner countries.
  • If China continues substituting domestic equipment for restricted imports, the contest shifts toward whether its supply chain can support advanced capacity without the tools the rules target.

The trend: Advanced-chip policy is becoming an instrument of statecraft that governs not only what China can buy, but also where global suppliers can manufacture and route AI computing capacity.

Discussion

  • @byron_wan Byron Wan on x
    In addition to the controls on chips and chip equipment, the Commerce Department is adding restrictions on US citizens, permanent residents and companies providing support to some Chinese chip-making facilities, and expanding restrictions on 1/2 https://www.wsj.com/...
  • @jchengwsj Jonathan Cheng on x
    The restrictions are some of the broadest the U.S. has ever enacted against China's chip industry, veering from previous actions that often targeted individual companies and a narrower subset of technology. @johndmckinnon @asafitch https://www.wsj.com/...
  • @alex @alex on x
    when max hits TM it is always a must read: https://twitter.com/...
  • @chernandburn Max A. Cherney on x
    The Biden administration today upended decades of foreign policy related to chips and other technology and issued sweeping new regulations on chips and chipmaking tools. Here are all the details 👇 https://www.protocol.com/...
  • @ydunhai Yu Dunhai on x
    They think by doing this they could deprive China and other countries of their right to development, and lock China down to the backward stage forever. History will tell it will only serve the opposite. https://www.nytimes.com/...
  • @terrymoran Terry Moran on x
    This seems long overdue. The bet the US made—beginning with Bush1 and Bill Clinton, ended by Trump and Biden—to fuel China's rise in the hopes that if China got rich China would become more like us—was doomed from the start. China gonna China. Always. https://www.nytimes.com/...
  • @noahbarkin Noah Barkin on x
    “In contrast to the Trump administration's approach - which was viewed as aggressive but scattershot - the rules appear to establish a more comprehensive policy that will stop tech exports to a range of Chinese technology companies” ⁦@AnaSwanson⁩ https://www.nytimes.com/...
  • @williamyang120 William Yang on x
    “The Biden administration on Friday announced sweeping new limits on the sale of semiconductor technology to #China, a step aimed at crippling #Beijing's ability to access critical technologies...https://www.nytimes.com/ ...
  • @anaswanson Ana Swanson on x
    The White House issued sweeping restrictions on selling semiconductors and chip-making equipment to China today, an attempt to curb the country's access to technologies that can be used in war https://www.nytimes.com/...