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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Binance plans to stop supporting the world's second biggest stablecoin USDC and convert users' USDC, USDP, and TUSD into its own stablecoin BUSD on September 29

Jamie Crawley / CoinDesk :

CoinDesk Jamie Crawley

Context & Ripple Effects

Binance's conversion policy concentrated several stablecoin balances into BUSD at the exchange level. That concentration later proved dependent on BUSD's issuer: Binance wound down BUSD support after Paxos stopped minting it following an NYDFS order.

The subsequent arc reversed the original positioning. Binance later partnered with Circle to expand USDC trading pairs and add USDC to its treasury, making the earlier conversion policy a useful marker of how quickly exchange stablecoin preferences can change.

First-order effects

  • Binance users holding USDC, USDP, or TUSD face conversion of those balances into BUSD, while BUSD becomes the exchange's default stablecoin balance for those assets.
  • Circle, Paxos, and TrustToken lose direct stablecoin balances on Binance as the exchange redirects their users' holdings toward BUSD.

Second-order effects

  • BUSD gains concentrated on-exchange liquidity and usage, while USDC, USDP, and TUSD must rely on other venues to preserve exchange-based demand.
  • The move gives Binance greater control over which stablecoin pairs and balances its customers use, increasing the value of issuer alignment with the exchange.

Third-order effects

  • The later BUSD wind-down after Paxos ceased minting shows that an exchange-led stablecoin distribution strategy is constrained by the issuer's regulatory position, not just trading liquidity.
  • Binance's later partnership with Circle to promote USDC points to a market where stablecoin access is increasingly organized through exchange–issuer partnerships rather than permanent exchange preference for one token.

The trend: Stablecoin distribution is becoming more dependent on exchange–issuer partnerships and the regulatory durability of the issuer behind each token.

Discussion

  • @jerallaire Jeremy Allaire on x
    Prediction: this move leads to a gradual net share shift from USDT to BUSD and USDC. https://twitter.com/...
  • @icodrops @icodrops on x
    .@binance will auto-convert $USDC, $USDP, $TUSD to $BUSD (Binance USD) from 2022-09-29 03:00 UTC. Users will continue to be able to withdraw funds in $USDC, $USDP and $TUSD at a 1:1 ratio to their $BUSD denominated account balance. https://www.binance.com/... https://twitter.com/…
  • @evgenygaevoy @evgenygaevoy on x
    1) Removing most stablecoin pairs is a good thing - liquidity doesn't have to be split between multiple stablecoins, making market makers' job easier and markets overall more liquid
  • @cmsholdings @cmsholdings on x
    Obviously binance will be keeping the absolutely bare minimum amount of non busd stables around to satisfy withdrawals and max busd inventory
  • @degenspartan @degenspartan on x
    pretty much what already happens at FTX for the longest time when you deposit any of the redeemable stables, but to “USD” instead of BUSD in this case either way, it begs the interesting question of why USDT is treated differently from the rest of the fiat-collateralized stables …
  • @ldrogen Leigh Drogen on x
    This will effectively make binance another venue for the USDT redemption for other stables in the case that it ever depegs again, which should make tether even more sturdy https://twitter.com/...
  • @cmsholdings @cmsholdings on x
    A tether / busd merge isn't an impossible conclusion imo https://twitter.com/...