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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Sources: Apple tells its assemblers to make 90M of its newest iPhones, on par with 2021; IDC expects the smartphone market to shrink 3.5% in 2022

Apple reportedly orders 90 million units Alan Friedman / PhoneArena : Apple reportedly asked suppliers to build 90 million new iPhone units for 2022, same as last year Tweets: @markets : Apple asked suppliers to build at least as many of its next-generation iPhones this year as in 2021, counting on an affluent clientele and dwindling competition to weather a global electronics downturn https://www.bloomberg.com/...

Bloomberg Debby Wu

Context & Ripple Effects

Apple’s iPhone production targets had already stepped up from roughly 75 million new iPhones planned for late 2019 to up to 90 million next-generation units in 2021. The 2022 instruction therefore marks a decision to preserve that higher operating level rather than extend the prior increase.

IDC’s projected market contraction makes Apple’s steady order a meaningful divergence from the broader handset outlook. Later coverage of an approximately 85 million-unit iPhone 15 target suggests the 90 million level became a ceiling rather than a permanently rising baseline.

First-order effects

  • Apple’s assemblers receive a 90 million-unit production plan for the new iPhone cycle, matching the prior year’s target.
  • Apple keeps its iPhone output plan level even as IDC forecasts a 3.5% contraction in the overall smartphone market.

Second-order effects

  • A stable Apple schedule gives its assemblers a comparatively predictable demand anchor while the wider smartphone market is expected to weaken.

Third-order effects

  • The sequence from 75 million in 2019 to 90 million in 2021–22, followed by the later 85 million target, points to a mature iPhone supply chain managed around volume discipline rather than uninterrupted annual expansion.

The trend: Premium handset production is becoming more resilient than the broader smartphone market, but Apple’s later lower target indicates that resilience still has a volume limit.