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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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A look at Meta's and Google's subsea cable investments in Africa, the least connected continent, as the companies seek the terrestrial links to a billion users

For the business world the Queen's Speech is often about bemoaning …

Rest of World

Context & Ripple Effects

This 2022 Rest of World feature sits mid-arc in a decade-long buildout: local operators and US platforms had already been scrambling to upgrade African digital infrastructure in a continent holding less than 1% of global data center capacity, and Meta was openly pairing that investment with expansion into lightly regulated markets like Nigeria as Western pressure mounted (per The Guardian).

What followed validates the thesis: Google committed $1B to Pacific cables and then detailed Umoja, the first fiber route linking Africa to Australia via Kenya and South Africa, while Meta scaled up to Project Waterworth's 50,000 km, five-continent system. The throughline is platforms buying the physical layer rather than renting it.

First-order effects

  • Meta and Google shift from being tenants of telecom carriers to owners of the landing stations and backhaul that determine bandwidth costs and quality for African ISPs and their billion-user growth market.
  • African regulators and governments now negotiate with two US platforms that control critical transit routes into their markets, not just with traditional carriers.

Second-order effects

  • Security risks in the southern Red Sea have left Meta's 2Africa project incomplete and delayed Google's Blue-Raman cable (Bloomberg), exposing how chokepoint geopolitics can stall both companies' African capacity plans at once.
  • Local operators and cloud providers must plan around platform-owned routes: capacity pricing and peering terms increasingly get set by Meta and Google rather than by regional carriers.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, intercontinental connectivity consolidates around a handful of US platforms whose cable maps double as commercial strategy — infrastructure decisions made in Menlo Park and Mountain View shape which regions get cheap bandwidth first.
  • That concentration invites a regulatory reckoning: states dependent on privately owned cables face the same sovereignty questions over physical networks that they already face over app stores and AI models.

The trend: Big Tech is absorbing the subsea cable layer itself, turning internet backbone ownership into a competitive moat in underconnected markets like Africa.

Discussion

  • @vickiturk Vicki Turk on x
    Google and Meta already control a lot of online content. Now they're becoming owners and operators of the physical infrastructure that underpins the internet, too. The result: greater connectivity, but also a tectonic shift in control. https://restofworld.org/...
  • @nnwigene @nnwigene on x
    I enjoyed reading this from @restofworld; it raises valid concerns about Big Tech's designs on African interconnectivity and the level of control they could wield as a result. The rewards are massive but eventually, we'll need to discuss exposure. https://restofworld.org/...
  • @khushbuoshea Khushbu Shah on x
    1 in 5 ppl globally live on the African continent, the least connected. Google is building subsea internet cable landings from South Africa to Nigeria. Meta aims to encircle Africa with a cable. @ajblum & @CareyBaraka report on the potential of a supranet https://restofworld.org/…
  • @khushbuoshea Khushbu Shah on x
    The team did 2 dozen interviews w/policymakers, telecomm industrialists, data center owners & advocates who said construction of a huge internet capacity will be a boon for millions but the consequences of Google and Meta's ownership are unclear + worrying https://restofworld.org…