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TEXXR

Chronicles

The story behind the story

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NonFungible: NFT sales fell 92% to a ~19K daily average this week from a ~225K peak in September 2021; active wallets fell 88% to ~14K from a November 2021 high

Is this the beginning of the end of NFTs?  —  1x  —  The NFT market is collapsing.  —  The sale of nonfungible tokens …

Wall Street Journal Paul Vigna

Context & Ripple Effects

The market had already shown fragility before this reading: average NFT prices had fallen sharply in early 2021, and March brought an 80% drop in OpenSea's daily trading volume from its February peak. NonFungible's sales and wallet figures show that the retrenchment had expanded from pricing and venue-level volume into participation itself.

The reported wallet decline matters because it narrows the pool of active buyers and sellers at the same time as daily sales contract. Later coverage of weekly sales falling more than 70% by late May reinforces that this was a continuing liquidity decline rather than a one-day volume swing.

First-order effects

  • NFT buyers and sellers are transacting in a markedly thinner market, with NonFungible measuring roughly 19,000 daily sales and 14,000 active wallets versus 2021 highs.
  • OpenSea enters May after its March volume reversal with a smaller active-participant base, making a recovery in trading activity harder to generate from marketplace traffic alone.

Second-order effects

  • Collections reliant on frequent trading, including Pudgy Penguins, face a less liquid buyer base after the collection's reported daily trading peak, increasing the importance of sustained participation rather than isolated high-value sales.
  • The fall in active wallets and sales aligns with the later reported decline in weekly NFT transactions, concentrating marketplace competition on the remaining active traders.

Third-order effects

  • If participation continues to fall alongside transaction volume, NFT markets become less defined by headline collection prices and more by the depth and persistence of their active trading base.
  • The subsequent DappRadar data showing traders returning to cryptocurrencies suggests a longer-term reallocation of crypto-market attention away from NFT trading, rather than a standalone correction in one marketplace.

The trend: NFT trading is shifting from a peak-era, high-participation market toward one where liquidity and active-wallet retention determine which venues and collections remain viable.

Discussion

  • @srussolillo Steven Russolillo on x
    THE DEATH OF NFTs... One buyer purchased a Snoop Dog curated NFT in early April for about $32,000 worth of the cryptocurrency ether. It's now up for auction, with an asking price of $25.5 million. The highest current bid is for 0.0743 ether—about $210. https://www.wsj.com/...
  • @truefactsstated Claude Taylor on x
    If you paid thousands or tens/hundreds of thousands for an NFT, you deserve public humiliation. https://www.wsj.com/...
  • @bigblackjacobin Edward Ongweso Jr on x
    NFTs, SPACs, DAOs, DeFi...the most innovative parts of our markets are just complicated forms of gambling and arbitrage. https://www.wsj.com/...
  • @punk9059 @punk9059 on x
    THE DEATH OF NFTs... One buyer purchased a “cryptopunk” NFT in early April 2021 for about $56,000 worth of the cryptocurrency ether. It's now up for sale, with an asking price of $297mn. The highest current bid is for 0.1 ether-about $296. https://www.larvalabs.com/... https://tw…
  • @cdixon @cdixon on x
    Here's the actual data via https://dune.com/... https://twitter.com/... https://twitter.com/...
  • @jfahmy Joseph Fahmy on x
    They should change the name from NFTs to GIF Certificates. https://twitter.com/...
  • @peterwsinger Peter W. Singer on x
    This scam was so obvious and yet so many in media went along with it...talking about NFTs, not Trump. https://twitter.com/...
  • @r0wdy_ Ham Elliot on x
    Buying an asset and seeing the value plummet isn't a web 3.0 thing, but the difference is that you never had thousands of people making it their entire personalities https://twitter.com/...
  • @timbray Tim Bray on x
    Who could possibly have predicted this? https://www.wsj.com/...
  • @mims Christopher Mims on x
    I forgot to include the link 🤦 “An NFT of the first tweet from Twitter Inc. co-founder Jack Dorsey sold in March 2021 for $2.9 million... Earlier this year, Mr. Estavi put the NFT up for auction. He didn't receive any bids above $14,000” https://www.wsj.com/...