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TEXXR

Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Qualcomm reports Q2 revenue of $11.16B, up 41% YoY, vs. $10.6B est., net income of $3.7B, up 68% YoY, and chip segment revenue of $9.55B, up 52% YoY

Kif Leswing / CNBC :

CNBC Kif Leswing

Context & Ripple Effects

This quarter lands at the top of Qualcomm's pandemic-era run: it follows the Q1 beat in February, which itself extended a streak stretching back to the November 2020 report when the stock jumped 12% on a similar beat-and-raise cadence. Revenue of $11.16B and chip segment revenue up 52% YoY mark the fastest growth of that stretch.

Yet the market read past the headline numbers: shares fell more than 7% pre-market because Qualcomm guided fourth-quarter profit below Wall Street estimates and said Apple-related revenue would decline faster than expected — the first clear signal in this coverage arc that the boom was peaking.

First-order effects

  • Investors sold the stock down more than 7% pre-market despite the beat, repricing Qualcomm around its below-consensus Q4 profit forecast rather than the strong Q2 print.

Second-order effects

  • With Apple revenue flagged to erode faster, Qualcomm leans harder on design wins outside handsets — the same period brings a 10-year agreement to supply BMW's digital cockpit and advanced driver-assistance chips.

Third-order effects

  • The pattern holds through the corpus: by the February 2024 report, YoY growth had cooled to 5% with handset chips the slow-growth core, confirming 2022 as the cycle peak and making automotive and other non-Apple segments the structural offset Qualcomm needs.

The trend: Qualcomm's pandemic-era handset chip boom crested in mid-2022, pushing the company to convert automotive design wins like BMW into the growth engine that replaces decaying Apple modem revenue.

Discussion

  • @deepblueequity Deep Blue on x
    $BRQS BREAKING Qualcomm revenue pops 41% driven by Android phone chip sales .... Borqs had a hand in this https://www.cnbc.com/...
  • @kifleswing Kif on x
    Strong Qualcomm earnings, especially in handset sales, which were up 56% yoy ..... doesn't look like there's gonna be a smartphone sales slowdown https://www.cnbc.com/...
  • @anshelsag Anshel Sag on x
    $QCOM beats, which is also not a surprise. @Qualcomm's diversification play continues to pay dividends. The #XR and #Automotive businesses are just starting to pay dividends now. Core business is still doing incredibly well, focusing on flagship 5G. https://www.cnbc.com/...