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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Tiger Global's hedge fund has slumped by 34% from January to March 2022, losing around $10B, fueled by declining stocks, the Ukraine war, and China's crackdown

Hema Parmar / Bloomberg :

Bloomberg Hema Parmar

Context & Ripple Effects

This is the second consecutive year of losses for Tiger Global's flagship: after its first annual decline since 2016 closed out 2021, the first quarter of 2022 turned the slide into a rout, with the hedge fund down 34% and roughly $10B gone in three months. The stated drivers — falling tech stocks, the Ukraine war, and China's crackdown — hit exactly the long-growth book that powered the firm's two-decade run.

The quarter matters because it was only the opening act: coverage through mid-2022 shows the loss reaching about $17B by May and the fund down 52% for the year by June, before private-company markdowns compounded the damage into 2023.

First-order effects

  • Tiger Global's limited partners absorb an immediate ~$10B drawdown in Q1 2022, on top of the 7% loss reported for 2021, as the fund's concentrated tech-long positions reprice with the market.
  • The same forces devalue the private startup stakes held alongside the public book, setting up the markdowns that later erased $23B across Tiger's VC funds.

Second-order effects

  • Rival crossover funds holding similar late-stage tech positions face investor pressure to mark their own private books down, accelerating repricing across the venture portfolio they co-own.
  • With returns collapsing, Tiger's next fundraise stalls — it ultimately secured just over $2B against a $6B target while US venture fundraising overall fell 73% year over year in Q1 2023.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, the hybrid public-private 'crossover' model that let Tiger deploy at speed through the 2010s loses its fundraising engine, forcing large tech investors to separate liquid trading books from slower locked-up venture capital.
  • Persistent markdowns of late-stage startup valuations tighten capital for growth-stage companies industry-wide, shifting bargaining power from founders to the smaller pools of remaining LP money.

The trend: The 2022 tech sell-off is unwinding the crossover-fund era, as Tiger Global's compounding public and private losses force venture-scale capital to reprice and retreat.

Discussion

  • @data168 @data168 on x
    A bad quarter makes Coleman more famous than the previous 20 years of success did. Tiger Global's 34% Tumble Brings Coleman's Firm Back to Earth. https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/ ...
  • @madhavchanchani Madhav on x
    “Stock declines in our focus areas have been steeper, faster, and longer lasting than in prior drawdowns” “In hindsight, we should have sold more shares across our portfolio in 2021 than we did” https://www.bloomberg.com/...
  • @robinwigg Robin Wigglesworth on x
    Behold, the quarterly performance of venture capital funds. Worst in at least two decades. https://www.ft.com/... https://twitter.com/...
  • @alanjlsmith Alan Smith on x
    The numbers in this article by @RobinWigg are insane: A leading hedge fund underperformed the market by 56% over 15 months - and yet the fund manager personally received $2.5 billion! https://www.ft.com/... https://twitter.com/...
  • @carnage4life @carnage4life on x
    A story that writes itself these days is to pick any major fund that invested in tech stocks from SoftBank to Tiger Global and point out its massive underperformance. The biggest loses have been driven by China's crackdown on tech which is a lesson itself https://www.ft.com/...
  • @hkanji @hkanji on x
    With the Nasdaq up 17% between the start of 2020 and the end of March this year, Tiger Global's main fund has now underperformed the benchmark tech index by 56% over the past 15 months https://www.ft.com/...
  • @markminervini Mark Minervini on x
    Another story of pros digging in with a rigid opinion and suffering the consequences. As an individual investor, you NEVER have to do this. That's your edge. But few properly exploit it. https://www.bloomberg.com/...