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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Brookings: US tech jobs remain concentrated in coastal hubs but 36 other cities, including Philadelphia, had stronger tech job growth than before the pandemic

Caitlin Harrington / Wired : Tweets: @caitharr and @louisgray Tweets: Caitlin Harrington / @caitharr : New @BrookingsInst data finds that tech workers didn't flee tech hubs en masse during the pandemic. They did disperse slightly though, especially to vacation towns like Barnstable, MA https://www.wired.com/... Louis Gray / @louisgray : “Has the so-called remote work revolution spawned a grand dispersal of tech jobs? Not really.” The Great Tech Hub Exodus Didn't Quite Happen https://www.wired.com/... /by @caitharr for @wired

Wired Caitlin Harrington

Context & Ripple Effects

The 'great tech exodus' thesis has been eroding for two years. Job-posting data already showed openings stayed concentrated in tech hubs during the pandemic, a 2021 report found 96.9% of Bay Area startups never left the region, and displaced workers began trickling back as Twitter reopened its SF HQ and Google planned expansion there.

Brookings' new data closes the loop: rather than a mass dispersal, it finds modest spread — 36 cities including Philadelphia grew tech jobs faster than before the pandemic, plus leakage into vacation towns like Barnstable, MA — while coastal-hub concentration itself held firm.

First-order effects

  • Philadelphia and the other 34-35 rising metros gain a measurable claim on tech employment growth, strengthening their pitches to employers and relocating workers even as the biggest hubs keep their share.
  • Hub-based employers like Twitter and Google get data backing their return-to-office and local expansion bets — the workforce they assumed would stay put largely did.

Second-order effects

  • Second-tier cities must now compete on more than remote-work availability, since posting data shows hub employers were always less likely to offer it — pushing them toward incentives, cost arguments, and local talent pipelines instead.
  • Vacation-town destinations like Barnstable face a different problem: small inflows of high-wage tech workers against limited housing stock, a localized affordability squeeze rather than a boom.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, US tech geography settles into a durable core-plus-second-tier structure rather than the flat distribution remote-work advocates predicted — echoing Brookings' earlier finding that only ten cities had grown their share of tech jobs since 2010.
  • Regional-policy debates shift accordingly: the question becomes how to convert marginal growth in places like Philadelphia into sustained share gains, not how to manage an exodus that the data says never happened.

The trend: Pandemic-era remote work nudged tech jobs outward at the margins while leaving coastal-hub concentration intact, making incremental second-tier growth — not dispersion — the real story.

Discussion

  • @caitharr Caitlin Harrington on x
    New @BrookingsInst data finds that tech workers didn't flee tech hubs en masse during the pandemic. They did disperse slightly though, especially to vacation towns like Barnstable, MA https://www.wired.com/...
  • @louisgray Louis Gray on x
    “Has the so-called remote work revolution spawned a grand dispersal of tech jobs? Not really.” The Great Tech Hub Exodus Didn't Quite Happen https://www.wired.com/... /by @caitharr for @wired
  • @petercoffee Peter Coffee on x
    Thirty-six cities “notched stronger tech job growth than before the pandemic,” including - Philadelphia - Minneapolis - Charlotte - Chapel Hill - Virginia Beach - Santa Barbara - Boulder, Colorado - Lincoln, Nebraska https://www.wired.com/...