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TEXXR

Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Ericsson CEO says the company might have made payments to ISIS to gain access to transport routes in Iraq in 2018, causing shares to drop by over 8.5%

Ericsson may have made payments to the ISIS terror organization to gain access to certain transport routes in Iraq, in a shock admission following years of regulatory investigations.

Bloomberg Rafaela Lindeberg

Context & Ripple Effects

This admission lands mid-arc in Ericsson's long corruption reckoning. In late 2019 the company admitted bribing officials while selling telecom equipment in Asia and paid a $1.1B settlement to the US DOJ and SEC — a deal that came with compliance obligations meant to clean up exactly the kind of payment now surfacing in Iraq.

The Iraq disclosure matters because it tests whether that cleanup held. A year later, sources reported Ericsson pleaded guilty to breaching the terms of the original settlement, drawing another $206M+ in penalties — and all of this unfolds while management is cutting costs elsewhere, including a plan to lay off 8,500 of its 105K+ staff announced just days after this story.

First-order effects

  • Shareholders absorb the immediate damage — an 8.5%+ share drop — as the CEO's disclosure reopens a bribery file investors thought was closed by the 2019 settlement.
  • Ericsson's compliance organization, built under DOJ and SEC scrutiny after the Asia admissions, must now account for transport-route payments in Iraq, expanding the scope of what US regulators can pursue.

Second-order effects

  • A settled case becomes an open one: the breach findings that followed show the original $1.1B resolution did not cap Ericsson's legal exposure, forcing the company to fund deeper remediation at the same time its cost-cut program targets thousands of jobs.
  • Carrier customers weighing vendors for high-risk emerging markets face fresh diligence questions about Ericsson's local payment practices, handing ammunition to rivals competing on those deployments.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, Western telecom equipment makers face a structural squeeze in conflict-affected and frontier markets: paying for access triggers US enforcement, while refusing it cedes ground to vendors with less exposure to American regulators — making compliance itself a competitive cost.

The trend: Telecom vendors are learning that US anti-bribery enforcement follows them into every market they serve, turning market access in fragile states into a compliance-versus-competitiveness tradeoff.

Discussion

  • @emeyersson Erik Meyersson on x
    Rough day at Ericsson https://www.bloomberg.com/...
  • @tbraithwaite Tom Braithwaite on x
    Don't know what this will do to the ESG rating. Ericsson says it might have paid Isis https://www.ft.com/...
  • @nicfildes Nic Fildes on x
    Ericsson shares drop after Iraq payments probe reveals it may have paid Isis. Last time it was in the dock said it had “failed in the past” so this one may be harder to square https://www.ft.com/...
  • @daniburgz Dani Burger on x
    That feeling when you may have kinda sorta paid off ISIS https://www.bloomberg.com/... https://twitter.com/...
  • @aggichristiane @aggichristiane on x
    Ericsson shares fell as much as 8.5% in early trading Wednesday, on the news that the company may have made payments to ISIS to gain access to certain transport routes in Iraq https://www.bloomberg.com/...