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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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As CB Insights says there are 1K unicorns globally, adding about two per day in 2022, a look at soaring valuations, the first to reach the milestone, and more

Hubert Palan signed on to Zoom from his home in Oakland, Calif., on Feb. 2 and prepared to address the 400 or so employees at his startup … Tweets: @lisaabramowicz1 and @markmilian Tweets: Lisa Abramowicz / @lisaabramowicz1 : Unicorns are becoming commonplace, with more than 1,000 companies now ranking among startups valued at $1 billion or more. https://www.bloomberg.com/... https://twitter.com/... Mark Milian / @markmilian : There are now 1,000 unicorn startups. Many of these are companies you've never heard of, with little revenue, but investors think they're worth a billion dollars. Does any of this make sense? https://www.bloomberg.com/...

Bloomberg Ellen Huet

Context & Ripple Effects

The unicorn label has traveled fast: when Fortune ran its cover story on the rise of billion-dollar startups in early 2015, there were roughly 80 private companies at $1B or more; CB Insights now counts over 1,000, adding about two per day in 2022 alone.

What was once a rare milestone is becoming a routine funding-round byproduct — and the related coverage already shows the strain, from a survey finding liquidation preferences protecting investors in 100% of unicorn deals to CB Insights' later count of a record 1,200 VC-backed unicorns still waiting on an IPO or acquisition.

First-order effects

  • Scarcity value collapses for founders and employees holding paper: with two new unicorns minted per day, a $1B valuation no longer signals differentiation to talent, press, or later-stage investors.
  • Late-stage investors respond by repricing risk into deal terms rather than valuations — the pattern the 2015 legal-firm survey documented, where preferred shareholders were protected in every funding deal examined.

Second-order effects

  • Exit markets absorb the backlog: the herd's growth outpaces IPO and M&A capacity, leaving CB Insights' record 1,200 unicorns privately stranded and Carta reporting fewer than 30% of 2021 vintage unicorns managed to raise again within three years.
  • Down-round and flat-round pressure builds for the 2021 cohort specifically, since a valuation sustained only by fresh capital becomes a liability once follow-on funding dries up.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, the industry's unit of prestige migrates from the $1B mark toward liquidity events themselves — secondary sales, take-privates, and structured exits — while unicorn counts persist as an increasingly hollow vanity metric.
  • Regulatory and accounting scrutiny of private-market marks intensifies as the gap widens between paper valuations and realizable outcomes for the employees holding the common stock.

The trend: Private-market capital concentration is inflating unicorn status from a scarce milestone into a default round label, decoupling headline valuations from liquidity.