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Chronicles

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Sources: the US government is reviewing Alibaba's cloud business to determine potential national security risks, including how it stores US clients' data

The Biden administration is reviewing e-commerce giant Alibaba's cloud business to determine whether it poses a risk to U.S. national security …

Reuters Alexandra Alper

Context & Ripple Effects

Alibaba entered the US cloud market in 2015 explicitly as an AWS challenger, then suspended that US expansion by 2018, retreating to serving multinationals that need cloud inside China. By 2022 its cloud ambitions had been derailed at home too, as Beijing's crackdown pushed Chinese institutions toward state-backed rivals.

The Biden administration's security review of how Alibaba Cloud stores US clients' data is the opening move in what the coverage shows becomes a sustained campaign: by mid-2023 Washington is exploring action against Alibaba Cloud and Huawei Cloud, and by 2024 it is probing China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom over US data flows. This review is where that arc starts.

First-order effects

  • Alibaba's remaining US cloud business — already narrowed to multinationals needing China connectivity — now faces the threat of restrictions or divestment-style remedies, freezing any path back to the growth it abandoned in 2018.
  • US companies storing data with Alibaba Cloud must weigh compliance and procurement risk against cost, since the review makes their vendor choice a national-security question.

Second-order effects

  • US hyperscalers and domestic cloud providers gain a protected market segment, as risk-averse enterprise buyers migrate workloads off Alibaba Cloud regardless of the review's outcome.
  • The review creates a template that extends to Huawei Cloud and the Chinese telecom carriers' US cloud operations, forcing every Chinese provider serving American clients to defend its data-handling practices to Washington.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, cloud computing joins telecom infrastructure as a sector where US market access for Chinese firms is screened by default, splitting the global cloud market into national blocs with data-locality rules as the enforcement mechanism.
  • Procurement shifts toward sovereign or allied-cloud requirements become standard for sensitive workloads, entrenching a structural divide that outlasts any single administration's review.

The trend: Washington is extending the telecom-era national-security toolkit to cloud computing, progressively screening Chinese providers out of the US data-infrastructure market.

Discussion

  • @doinachiacu Doina Chiacu on x
    U.S. probing how Alibaba stores U.S. clients' data, including personal information and intellectual property, and whether the Chinese government could gain access to it. Exclusive: U.S. examining Alibaba's cloud unit for national security risks https://www.reuters.com/... @alexal…
  • @kennedycsis Scott Kennedy on x
    “The probe into Alibaba's cloud business is being led by a small office within the Commerce Department known as the Office of Intelligence and Security.” https://www.reuters.com/...