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Chronicles

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Research: with 4,000+ monthly active developers, Ethereum has the largest open source ecosystem in crypto, followed by Polkadot, Cosmos, Solana, and Bitcoin

Executive Summary  —  Web3 developers are at an all-time high and growing faster than ever.  — 18,000+ monthly active …

Electric Capital Maria Shen

Context & Ripple Effects

Ethereum's lead in developer activity extends an earlier account of its app-development advantage over Bitcoin, attributed to better programming tools and a stronger developer community. That developer base mattered as Ethereum dapp use rose sharply in 2020, with DeFi driving nearly all reported activity.

The ranking establishes a baseline for comparing the ecosystems competing for open-source contributors. Later Electric Capital coverage shows why that baseline is not permanent: overall crypto developer participation declined while Solana led among new developers.

First-order effects

  • Ethereum gains the clearest ecosystem-leadership signal among the named chains, while Polkadot, Cosmos, Solana, and Bitcoin are measured against its developer base.
  • Electric Capital's ranking gives builders, ecosystem teams, and prospective contributors a common benchmark based on monthly active open-source participation rather than token-market performance.

Second-order effects

  • Polkadot, Cosmos, Solana, and Bitcoin face sharper pressure to distinguish their developer environments, because the report makes contributor depth an explicit competitive metric.
  • Ethereum's developer advantage reinforces the link between its tooling and application activity, while rivals' progress depends on attracting new contributors rather than merely retaining existing ones.

Third-order effects

  • Crypto platform competition is increasingly organized around recurring developer participation as a durable measure of ecosystem capacity, though later declines in total developers show that leadership can shift during a sector-wide contraction.
  • If new-developer preferences continue to diverge from established developer totals, incumbents such as Ethereum will need to defend their lead through retention as newer ecosystems compete for the next cohort.

The trend: Crypto networks are competing less on standalone chain claims and more on their ability to sustain and replenish open-source developer communities.

Discussion

  • @avichal @avichal on x
    1/ Time for @ElectricCapital's Annual Developer Report: https://medium.com/... We analyzed 150m+ repos & xM code commits to produce these 100+ charts. This was a community effort: 150 people contributed via email and Github! Thank you everyone who helped. Let's dig in👇
  • @jdh @jdh on x
    👀👀 Ethereum ~= to next 4 combined @ElectricCapital https://medium.com/... https://twitter.com/...
  • @avichal @avichal on x
    25/ While the Web3 ecosystem continues to grow and is larger than ever, building real community takes time. Most communities take 2 years to get to more than 100 developers. https://twitter.com/...
  • @avichal @avichal on x
    28/ DeFi has grown +76%, in line with overall web3 growth. 500 new developers commit code to a DeFi project each month https://twitter.com/...
  • @avichal @avichal on x
    3/ tl;dr - Web3 is at All-Time Highs: * 18k+ monthly devs * 2.5k monthly devs in DeFi * 3k NEW devs touch web3 code each month * Several emerging ecosystems are growing faster than @Ethereum at the same stage in its history * 20-25% of new devs each month start on @Ethereum https…
  • @avichal @avichal on x
    7/ The rapid growth in new developers means that 60% of the developers in web3 started in 2021! Looking at developers checking in code >10 days/month, 45% of full time devs joined in 2021. Any way you slice it, almost half of the devs in web3 are fairly new. https://twitter.com/.…
  • @avichal @avichal on x
    6/ Over 3,000 *new* developers try Web3 every month - an all-time high. While many of these developers are hobbyists and will leave, some make it a career. As @cdixon says, “What the smartest people do on the weekend is what everyone else will do during the week in ten years” htt…
  • @avichal @avichal on x
    4/ Starting at the top, we have 18,400+ developers, +75% from the start of 2021. This is big growth after almost two years of trending sideways. Remember, this is only open source devs. There are many developers writing closed source or working at companies not counted here. http…
  • @avichal @avichal on x
    2/ Our methodology: We focus on open source code, so we undercount total developers in web3. We focus on unique code and do not count purely copy/paste code. These are all imperfect measures but directionally useful to understand web3 growth. Feedback is appreciated! https://twit…
  • @rajgokal Raj.Sol on x
    developers developers developers developers developers developers developers developers developers developers developers developers https://twitter.com/... https://twitter.com/...
  • @cdixon Cdixon Eth on x
    Excellent report on web3 open source developer momentum “Over 3,000 *new* developers try Web3 every month - an all-time high.” 👇 https://twitter.com/...