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TEXXR

Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Cloudflare and Cisco Talos say Log4j zero-day attacks were first observed on December 1 and 2, ahead of mass exploitation over the weekend

While a public proof-of-concept code was released last Thursday, attacks exploiting the Log4Shell vulnerability started two weeks ago.

The Record Catalin Cimpanu

Context & Ripple Effects

Cloudflare and Cisco Talos place exploitation before the public proof-of-concept and before coverage documented waves of attacks against unpatched Apache servers. That earlier start explains why the incident rapidly became a broad exposure-management problem rather than a patching event alone.

The subsequent surge to more than 800,000 attacks within 72 hours makes the initial observations consequential: defenders had to account for activity that may have occurred before the vulnerability was widely known.

First-order effects

  • Organizations assessing Log4Shell exposure need to extend log review and compromise hunting back to December 1, rather than treating the public proof-of-concept as the start of attacker activity.

Second-order effects

  • Incident-response teams must separate patch deployment from compromise remediation, since the related attack waves included data theft, botnets and cryptomining on systems that had remained unpatched.

Third-order effects

  • The episode supports a security-operations model that assumes serious flaws may be exploited before public disclosure and retains telemetry for retrospective investigation; later warnings of Log4Shell exploitation in the wild show why the response horizon extends beyond the initial patch cycle.

The trend: High-severity open-source vulnerabilities are increasingly managed as pre-disclosure intrusion risks with long-lived exploitation tails, not one-time patch emergencies.

Discussion

  • @eastdakota @eastdakota on x
    Earliest evidence we've found so far of #Log4J exploit is 2021-12-01 04:36:50 UTC. That suggests it was in the wild at least 9 days before publicly disclosed. However, don't see evidence of mass exploitation until after public disclosure.
  • @bushidotoken @bushidotoken on x
    The #Kinsing and #Muhstik cryptomining botnets are some of the first to exploit any new RCE vulnerability: this time it's Log4j & Log4Shell. Those two names have cropped up for several major RCEs this year, they've actually become one way to tell how bad a new RCE is.