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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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GitLab closed up 35% in its Nasdaq debut, giving it a $14.9 billion market cap, after raising $801M in its IPO at an $11B valuation

Ari Levy / CNBC :

CNBC Ari Levy

Context & Ripple Effects

GitLab's debut caps a fast revaluation arc: a secondary share sale valued it at just over $6B in December 2020, up from $2.7B in September 2019, and by January it was weighing a listing on the back of revenue past $150M annually. Its September filing showed both sides of the trade — quarter revenue up 69% to $58.1M, but net losses widened to $40.2M from $9.4M (the filing coverage).

Pricing then ran ahead of plan: an early filing targeted as much as $624M at roughly $9B (that filing), yet the deal ultimately priced at $77 a share — above the $66–$69 range — for $801M raised and an $11B valuation before today's 35% pop to $14.9B.

First-order effects

  • GitLab banks $801M of primary capital and now carries a $14.9B public market cap — more than double the $6B mark employees sold at in the January-era secondary — giving staff and early holders a liquid, sharply higher reference price.
  • Underwriters and the company left money on the table: pricing at $77 versus the original $66–$69 range, followed by a first-day 35% close, signals demand was underpriced even after the range-topping move.

Second-order effects

  • A $14.9B close on a company losing ~$40M per quarter hands other late-stage developer-tools startups a fresh comparable, pressuring their own pre-IPO marks upward and encouraging boards to accelerate listings into a receptive window.
  • Public investors paying a premium multiple for 69%-growth-but-deeply-unprofitable SaaS forces rival code-collaboration vendors competing for the same enterprise buyers to justify their own burn rates against GitLab's newly validated model.

Third-order effects

  • The pattern — steep first-day pops on above-range pricing for unprofitable, fast-growing infrastructure software — points toward public markets once again underwriting growth over profitability, resetting which private companies can clear the IPO bar.
  • If that appetite holds, the dev-tools layer consolidates around a handful of large-capitalization platforms whose stock currency funds expansion, squeezing smaller point-solution competitors on both talent and enterprise procurement.

The trend: High-growth, loss-making developer-infrastructure SaaS is finding a hungry public market again, with IPO pricing running above targets and first-day pops resetting private valuations behind it.

Discussion

  • @levie Aaron Levie on x
    The GitLab story shows the multiple paths to winning in software that 10 years ago few believed. You can build massive value around open source. Your biggest competitor can get acquired by a major player, and the market still grows massively. You can be 100% remote. And so on.
  • @mattschembari Matt Schembari on x
    GitLab is an all-remote company with around 1,300 employees. They just IPO'd for $15B today. All-remote works at scale, and all-remote companies can be extremely valuable. Congrats to the @gitlab team and @sytses! #remotework https://www.cnbc.com/...
  • @thedomino Dominic Chu on x
    Git some https://twitter.com/...
  • @cnbcjosh Josh Lipton on x
    “For @JoeMontana, GitLab marks his firm's first IPO, though he said “we have 12 or 13 more unicorns in the portfolio,” referring to start-ups valued at $1 billion or more. They include @anduriltech...and autonomous vehicle testing start-up Applied Intuition.” https://twitter.com/…
  • @levynews Ari Levy on x
    Joe Montana invested $100k in GitLab in 2015 At top of IPO range, that stake is now worth -$42 mln It's his first IPO. We interviewed him: https://www.cnbc.com/...
  • @austen Austen Allred on x
    Joe Montana (and his fund) are low-key one of the better investors in Silicon Valley https://twitter.com/...
  • @quinnypig Corey Quinn on x
    Impressive gains, but not quite as impressive as last week when Twitch opened up 100% after failing to properly secure its systems. https://twitter.com/...
  • @levynews Ari Levy on x
    GitLab jumps 22% in its Nasdaq debut after pricing well above range $13.5 billion market cap at open 58x revenue multiple - higher than all but 4 companies in Bessemer Cloud Index (https://bill.com/, Snowflake, Cloudlfare, Asana) https://www.cnbc.com/...
  • @carnage4life Dare Obasanjo on x
    Gitlab IPO values it at $11B. Microsoft buying Github for $7.5B which seemed outlandish at the time now looks like a massive steal. Not as bad as Facebook & Instagram or Google & YouTube but still another great bargain. https://www.bloomberg.com/...
  • @smartfootball Chris B. Brown on x
    Joe Montana and his VC fund turning a $100k investment in GitLab into $42 million. Not too shabby https://twitter.com/...
  • @ranjanxroy Ranjan on x
    “We're all pretty pumped,” Montana said in an interview this week, while vacationing in Italy. https://www.cnbc.com/... https://twitter.com/...