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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Research: China's bitcoin hashrate share fell from 44% to 0% between May and July, as the US rose from 17% in April to 35% in August and Kazakhstan rose to 18%

Crackdown on digital currencies knocks country's share of crypto production to zero  —  The US overtook China as the world's biggest source … Source: Cambridge Judge Business … .

Financial Times Eleanor Olcott

Context & Ripple Effects

China's position had already been eroding before the crackdown: Cambridge research recorded its share falling to 46% in April while the US share climbed to 16.8% in the earlier Cambridge hashrate survey. The reported zero reading marks a far sharper redistribution, with the US and Kazakhstan absorbing much of the displaced capacity.

Later coverage complicates any reading of the ban as a permanent removal of Chinese mining: research subsequently found a return of Chinese hashrate through covert mining. The immediate story is therefore about where visible mining capacity relocated, and how regulation reshaped its geographic footprint.

First-order effects

  • China loses its measured bitcoin-mining presence, while the US becomes the largest reported source of hashrate at 35% and Kazakhstan reaches 18%.
  • Miners displaced by China's crackdown must operate through jurisdictions able to host their equipment, directing activity and associated infrastructure demand toward the US and Kazakhstan.

Second-order effects

  • Kazakhstan's enlarged role makes bitcoin mining more exposed to its domestic connectivity: later internet disruptions there were estimated to shut down about 15% of the world's miners.
  • US mining operators inherit a larger share of the network's reported capacity, raising the strategic importance of US-based power, hosting, and network infrastructure relative to China's formerly dominant base.

Third-order effects

  • The relocation shows that national restrictions can redistribute visible hashrate rather than end mining; China's subsequent measured rebound suggests enforcement can push activity underground instead of removing it.
  • If mining continues to concentrate in a smaller set of hosting jurisdictions, local power and internet disruptions will carry outsized consequences for a globally used network.

The trend: Bitcoin mining is shifting from China-centered scale toward a more geographically distributed but infrastructure-sensitive set of national hubs.

Discussion

  • @cambridgejbs Cambridge Judge on x
    Updated figures from the Cambridge Bitcoin Electricity Consumption Index (CBECI) show that China's crackdown on #Bitcoin mining has resulted in the USA taking the leading share of global hashrate. via @EllieOlcott for the @FT. https://www.ft.com/...
  • @mattsteinglass @mattsteinglass on x
    If Bitcoin is so great bc unlike fiat currency supply is finite (digital gold), and the problem is that mining consumes tons of energy, why not just stop mining them? Why do crypto advocates have a problem with a mining ban? https://www.ft.com/...
  • @samjoiner Sam Joiner on x
    New: Watch the US overtake China as the world's largest Bitcoin mining hub just two months after Beijing's crypto ban. Great fun working on this graphic with @sdbernard for @EllieOlcott's story. Data from Cambridge Bitcoin Electricity Consumption Index. https://www.ft.com/... htt…
  • @sdbernard Steven Bernard on x
    The US storms to the top of the bitcoin mining chart after Beijing's crypto ban. Had a blast working on this with @samjoiner. Thanks to the Cambridge Bitcoin Electricity index for the data Read @EllieOlcott's story https://www.ft.com/... #dataviz https://twitter.com/...