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Chronicles

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Sources: Intuit is in talks to buy Mailchimp for more than $10B; Mailchimp has also considered offering a minority stake and another buyer could still emerge

Intuit Inc., the software company that owns TurboTax, is in talks to buy email marketing startup Mailchimp for more than $10 billion …

Bloomberg

Context & Ripple Effects

Mailchimp has been on the block for weeks: Bloomberg reported last month that the Atlanta company was exploring strategic options, including a sale at a valuation above $10B, with 2020 EBITDA around $300M and even a minority-stake structure under consideration. Today's report names Intuit as the bidder in talks at $10B-plus, though the story leaves room for another buyer to emerge or for Mailchimp to keep part of itself.

For Intuit this is the third run at buying growth rather than building it, following the confirmed Credit Karma acquisition and an earlier unsolicited $1.5B approach to BigCommerce that BigCommerce declined ahead of its IPO. Mailchimp's bootstrapped, cash-generative email business would sit alongside TurboTax and QuickBooks in an increasingly consolidated small-business stack.

First-order effects

  • If signed at more than $10B, Mailchimp's owners get a cash-and-stock exit on par with Intuit's $7.1B Credit Karma deal, while Intuit immediately adds email marketing to its TurboTax-and-QuickBooks customer base.

Second-order effects

  • A rival buyer could still emerge given Mailchimp's profitability, forcing any competing suitor to bid against both Intuit's balance sheet and the strategic fit Intuit can claim.

Third-order effects

  • The pattern — Credit Karma acquired, BigCommerce pursued, Mailchimp now targeted — points to Intuit assembling an end-to-end SMB platform by acquisition rather than product development, a structure later reflected when Mailchimp operates as 'Intuit Mailchimp' under its own CEO.

The trend: Profitable standalone SMB software companies are being absorbed into full-suite platforms like Intuit before they ever reach the public markets.

Discussion

  • @newsynick Nick Turner on x
    When it was reported that Mailchimp was for sale for $10 billion+, some wondered how you could account for such a price. It turns out Mailchimp's suitor knows a bit about accounting (it's like their main thing). https://www.bloomberg.com/... via @LianaBaker @kielporter @EdHammond…
  • @sadbillackman SBA on x
    Big payday for a boot strapped biz - I don't think they have any VC backing. https://twitter.com/...