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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Shares of Krafton, the game studio behind PUBG, fell as much as 20% after it raised $3.8B in its Seoul IPO at a valuation of ~$19B, likely due to China concerns

Shares in Krafton Inc (259960.KS), the Tencent Holdings-backed (0700.HK) South Korean company behind blockbuster video game …

Reuters

Context & Ripple Effects

Krafton's June 2021 filing sought up to $5B, and the July pricing plan still pointed to roughly $21.2B — so today's ~$19B valuation already represents a discount to the company's own underwriters' math. The Tencent Holdings backing that made Krafton attractive also made it the most China-exposed listing on the Korean exchange.

The 20% first-day drop is the market repricing that exposure in real time: investors are paying less for PUBG's cash flows because regulatory risk in China can hit both Tencent's influence over the board and any future revenue tied to Chinese distribution.

First-order effects

  • Tencent and other pre-IPO holders absorb an immediate paper loss as the stock trades well below the ~$19B offer valuation, while Krafton still banks the full $3.8B raise regardless of where the shares close.

Second-order effects

  • Future Korea-listing candidates with major Chinese shareholders face a steeper discount, forcing issuers to price China exposure into offers rather than treat it as a neutral backdrop.
  • Krafton is pushed toward geographic diversification to defend the valuation — a path its later India acquisitions push follows directly once growth in China and the US slows.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, Chinese-backed gaming assets get structurally cheaper in non-Chinese public markets until they can demonstrate revenue independent of China — which the corpus suggests happened here, with shares up more than 70% since early 2024 after years of studio investment.

The trend: Chinese strategic stakes in foreign gaming companies are shifting from a listing-day asset to a valuation discount, pushing studios like Krafton to diversify geographically to re-rate.

Discussion

  • @nikkeiasia @nikkeiasia on x
    South Korean video game developer Krafton will make its stock market debut Tuesday. Here is a look at the mix of personalities, talent and connections that make the company unique. #Krafton #IPO https://asia.nikkei.com/...