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TEXXR

Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Bitcoin slid 7%+ to $32,936 after US seized most of the Colonial Pipeline ransom and is down ~50% from its all-time high of ~$63K; ether and XRP also fell 7%

- The world's largest cryptocurrency slid 11% to a price of $31,629 Tuesday.  — U.S. officials said Monday they have seized $2.3 million …

CNBC Ryan Browne

Context & Ripple Effects

The U.S. recovery of nearly 64 bitcoins from the Colonial Pipeline payment arrives during a sharp Bitcoin drawdown from its prior peak, with ether and XRP moving lower alongside it. The coverage also places the move in a market with a record of broad, synchronized selloffs, including Bitcoin’s earlier drop below $10,000 alongside steep Ether and Ripple declines.

First-order effects

  • U.S. officials now control roughly $2.3 million of the ransom proceeds, reducing the amount retained by the hackers behind the Colonial Pipeline attack.
  • Bitcoin’s decline coincides with comparable losses in ether and XRP, extending the immediate selloff beyond the asset used for the ransom payment.

Second-order effects

  • For ransomware operators that request Bitcoin payments, the U.S. recovery demonstrates that receiving crypto does not ensure control of the proceeds once investigators identify the holdings.
  • The synchronized drop in Bitcoin, ether, and XRP reinforces that traders are treating major cryptoassets as a linked risk market rather than isolating the Colonial Pipeline development to Bitcoin.

Third-order effects

  • If authorities repeatedly recover crypto-linked ransom proceeds, ransomware payment flows face a more durable trust problem: the asset’s transferability does not by itself guarantee final control for recipients.
  • Crypto’s recurring cross-asset drawdowns point to a market structure in which confidence shocks can transmit across major tokens, even when the immediate event concerns one payment or network.

The trend: Crypto is becoming both a more visible payment rail for illicit activity and a more actively contestable one for law enforcement, while major tokens continue to trade as a correlated risk complex.

Discussion

  • @peterzeihan Peter Zeihan on x
    In the minds of US law-enforcement and American economic policy planners, bitcoin is increasingly being viewed as purely a tool of criminality. Too soon to know if that view will extend to other crypto. https://www.cnbc.com/...