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Chronicles

The story behind the story

days · browse · Enter similar · o open

Uber and Lyft acknowledge prices are up and wait times are longer, citing a lack of drivers; research found prices rose 37% from March 2020 to March 2021

The companies say they are charging extra because they don't have enough drivers to match rebounding customer demand.

New York Times Kate Conger

Context & Ripple Effects

Uber and Lyft had already shown how supply-side constraints can reach riders' bills: when New York City's driver minimum-wage law took effect, both anticipated higher prices in the related coverage. The companies now identify driver availability, rather than a local wage rule, as the constraint behind the widening gap between demand and available rides.

The shortage was not a brief pricing blip. A later receipt-based fare analysis found July 2021 fares well above January 2020 levels, and subsequent YipitData coverage recorded record average fares amid fewer riders and trips in early 2022.

First-order effects

  • Uber and Lyft riders pay higher fares and wait longer as the platforms lack enough drivers to meet rebounding demand.
  • Uber and Lyft are immediately operating with constrained ride supply, using higher prices while trips cannot be matched as quickly.

Second-order effects

  • The March-to-March increase became part of a broader fare reset: later consumer-receipt data showed the pressure continuing into July 2021 rather than reversing as demand returned.
  • Higher prices can ration rides, aligning with the later YipitData finding that both companies had fewer riders and trips than before the pandemic even as average fares reached records.

Third-order effects

  • The related coverage identifies two distinct routes to the same outcome—New York's driver wage floor and a driver shortage—making labor supply a recurring determinant of ride-hailing prices.
  • If that pattern persists, Uber and Lyft's consumer pricing will be governed less by nominal app-based abundance and more by the cost and availability of the drivers who provide the service.

The trend: Ride-hailing is developing a capacity-lag premium, in which driver supply constraints translate directly into higher fares and reduced service availability.

Discussion

  • @brooke Brooke Hammerling on x
    An @Uber ride that's normally $25 cost me $90 not including tip, this weekend. ONE way. I had decided to Uber to dinner as I was going to have a drink. Most expensive drink I've ever had. https://www.nytimes.com/...
  • @jeffnolan Jeff Nolan on x
    my teenagers have noticed how expensive Uber now is and are opting to ride with friends instead. You know it's bad. https://twitter.com/...
  • @jason @jason on x
    I hear reports of drivers making $40+ an hour again... get that money! https://twitter.com/...
  • @nicolegelinas Nicole on x
    It's a gentle preview of the fact that absent massive, permanent investor-paid subsidies and offloading of the quick-depreciating capital-equipment purchase to the subprime-borrower drivers, the economics of cheap hire car rides do not work. https://twitter.com/...
  • @carnage4life Dare Obasanjo on x
    Uber/Lyft join restaurants in not being able to entice workers to come back given pandemic benefits. This experience will harm the UBI pitch going forward since we've now seen people will leave the workforce putting more tax burden on those with jobs. https://www.nytimes.com/...
  • @bgurley Bill Gurley on x
    Remember, the drivers keep the majority of this pricing differential. So if you are paying these rates, you are helping the driver. Also, you can go drive ... 🤑 https://twitter.com/...
  • @felixsalmon Felix Salmon on x
    Do we have data on what proportion of the fare hikes are being captured by the platforms, vs passed on to drivers? https://www.nytimes.com/...
  • @greenhousenyt Steven Greenhouse on x
    Uber & Lyft complain that they don't have enough drivers as customer demand rebounds Economist Heidi Shierholz: “We know how to attract workers—give them better jobs, better pay, better working conditions. It's not rocket science; that's how you do it.” https://www.nytimes.com/..…
  • @halsinger Hal Singer on x
    This story pits consumers against drivers, blaming higher fares on drivers, precisely how Uber/Lyft would have scripted it. Alt take: This “labor shortage” is caused by Uber/Lyft's excessive take rates; a smaller take rate would increase driver supply. https://www.nytimes.com/...
  • @econ_marshall Marshall Steinbaum on x
    Strange to cover the labor market as though it exists in order to cheaply service the every need of an affluent clientele. https://twitter.com/...