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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Coinbase reports Q1 revenue of $1.8B, up 207% QoQ, monthly transacting users of 6.1M, up from 2.8M last quarter, says it plans to list dogecoin in 6-8 weeks

- In Q1, Coinbase reported earnings per share of $3.05, the company reported on Wednesday.  — It also brought in $1.80 billion of revenue …

CNBC MacKenzie Sigalos

Context & Ripple Effects

Coinbase’s first-quarter surge established a high activity baseline that carried into the stronger second-quarter revenue report, despite the volatile trading period noted in related coverage. The planned dogecoin listing paired that growth with an effort to broaden the assets available to its active traders.

Later coverage shows how exposed that model was to trading conditions: Coinbase’s weaker first quarter in 2022 came with lower revenue and trading volume year over year, even as monthly transacting users increased.

First-order effects

  • Coinbase’s 6.1 million monthly transacting users and $1.8 billion in quarterly revenue give the company a substantially larger active trading base entering Q2.
  • A dogecoin listing plan gives Coinbase a defined near-term addition to its trading catalog for those users.

Second-order effects

  • The subsequent $2.23 billion Q2 revenue report indicates that the elevated activity persisted beyond the first-quarter result, making transaction demand the central near-term driver of Coinbase’s financial performance.
  • The later 2022 revenue and volume decline shows that higher user counts alone did not protect Coinbase from a downturn in trading activity.

Third-order effects

  • Coinbase’s results point to an exchange model in which earnings scale quickly with market participation but can contract when trading volumes recede, even if the customer base remains large.
  • If that pattern persists, asset listings and product breadth will matter chiefly as tools for capturing trading demand rather than as insulation from crypto-market cycles.

The trend: Crypto exchanges are becoming larger activity platforms while remaining highly dependent on the volatility and volume generated by their trading markets.

Discussion

  • @kenziesigalos MacKenzie Sigalos on x
    Coinbase's net profit for the quarter was over $771 million, more than four-fold over Q4 2020's figure of $177 million and more than 24 times higher than the year ago quarter's profit: https://www.cnbc.com/...