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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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The sandboxed App Store model has been a hugely good thing, but Apple has often made wrong decisions in running it and now the EU is stepping in to regulate it

Apple launched the App Store in 2008, and tightened up the payment rules in 2011, and we've been arguing about it ever since.

Ben Evans Benedict Evans

Context & Ripple Effects

Apple’s 2011 payment-rule tightening became the focal point of a longer dispute over who sets the terms of iPhone software distribution. A 2020 assessment argued that Apple’s scale and mounting EU and US legal fights were pushing it toward new rules for the App Store.

The EU intervention described here marks the move from criticism of Apple’s governance choices to formal constraints on that governance. Later coverage shows the practical direction of travel: alternative EU app stores with a per-install fee and notarization for apps distributed outside Apple’s store.

First-order effects

  • EU regulation puts Apple’s App Store payment and distribution rules under external oversight, limiting its ability to treat those rules solely as internal platform policy.
  • Developers serving the EU gain a regulatory basis to challenge the terms under which Apple controls app access and payments.

Second-order effects

  • Apple’s response shifts competition from a single App Store rulebook toward choices among Apple-run distribution, alternative stores, and Apple’s accompanying platform requirements.
  • Alternative-store operators and developers must weigh lower or different commission structures against Apple’s per-install charge and notarization requirements.

Third-order effects

  • If this regulatory model persists, mobile-platform competition will increasingly be decided by the conditions attached to access and compliance, rather than by whether a gatekeeper permits alternative distribution at all.
  • The App Store becomes a test case for contestable gatekeeping: regulators may preserve platform safety controls while constraining how those controls are used to govern payments and distribution.

The trend: Mobile app marketplaces are moving from unilateral gatekeeper rulemaking toward regulated, conditional alternatives for distribution and payments.

Discussion

  • @eric_seufert Eric Seufert on x
    Good read on the challenges of scaling ecosystem rules that seem “obvious” at 1mm users and dozens of developers but get very complex at 1bn users and millions of developers https://twitter.com/...
  • @keleftheriou Kosta Eleftheriou on x
    I'm glad there's more to say about where the App Store is going. In fact, I think we're still in the “more questions than answers” phase. https://twitter.com/...
  • @rjonesy Ryan Jones on x
    Woah shit, @benedictevans thinks the EU commission will: 1. Allow 3rd-party payments 2. Reduce Apple's 30% further 3. Provide equal API access That's crazy to imagine... the implications for the app landscape... https://twitter.com/...
  • @benedictevans Benedict Evans on x
    I wrote about App Store regulation. We've been arguing about app stores for a decade, but now the EU is going to change the rules. Will that actually matter, or is it just a $10bn wealth transfer to a few games companies? https://www.ben-evans.com/...
  • @stroughtonsmith Steve Troughton-Smith on x
    I think the time has passed for arguing whether the App Store is a monopoly or run anticompetitively — the fun part now is seeing just how Apple evolves it to face that reality. We can love what the App Store provides users & developers yet still need change along other axes