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Chronicles

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Nuance is Microsoft's fourth $5B+ acquisition since 2016; other than Microsoft, only Amazon among the Big Five has spent $5B+ on an acquisition in that span

just as all of its largest rivals can't/won't. Coincidence? Probably not. https://www.cnbc.com/... Thanks: @mattrosoff

CNBC Alex Sherman

Context & Ripple Effects

Microsoft had already shown a willingness to buy at scale: its FY2019 activity included the $7.5B GitHub purchase and 20 acquisitions. Nuance extends that pattern to a fourth Microsoft transaction above $5B since 2016.

The later completion of the Nuance acquisition confirms that the announcement became part of Microsoft’s operating footprint, while Dealogic’s subsequent tally showed Microsoft, Amazon and Alphabet accelerating acquisition announcements in 2021.

First-order effects

  • Nuance becomes Microsoft’s fourth $5B+ acquisition since 2016, reinforcing Microsoft’s position as the Big Five’s most consistent buyer of large targets.
  • Amazon is the only other Big Five company identified here with a $5B+ acquisition in the same period, sharpening the contrast between its dealmaking capacity and that of the remaining peers.

Second-order effects

  • Large software and cloud-adjacent targets gain a clearer set of credible strategic buyers at the top end of the market, led by Microsoft and Amazon rather than a broad field of Big Five bidders.
  • Microsoft’s repeated use of major acquisitions makes smaller acquisitions such as its Affirmed Networks agreement part of a wider build-and-buy approach rather than isolated transactions.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern persists, large-cap technology M&A will remain concentrated among a small number of cash-rich platforms, giving them disproportionate influence over which independent capabilities remain available to rivals.
  • The divide between frequent large buyers and peers relying on smaller deals or internal development becomes a lasting dimension of Big Five competitive strategy.

The trend: Big Five acquisition activity is concentrating around a small group of platforms willing to make repeated multibillion-dollar bets on strategic capabilities.

Discussion

  • @levynews Ari Levy on x
    Microsoft's $5 billion-plus shopping cart over past 5 years: *professional social network *software developer platform *video game publisher *voice transcription and AI software via @sherman4949 https://www.cnbc.com/...
  • @cnbc @cnbc on x
    LinkedIn co-founder @reidhoffman had this to say about Microsoft's $16B acquisition of Nuance: “One of the things I learned [in LinkedIn's combination with Microsoft] ... is how good Satya and his team are at actually integrating companies.” @CNBCTechCheck https://www.cnbc.com/..…
  • @sherman4949 Alex Sherman on x
    Meanwhile, Apple/Google/Facebook's $5b+ shopping cart: * Amazon's $5b+ shopping cart: *grocery store chain
  • @sherman4949 Alex Sherman on x
    Microsoft is elephant hunting — just as all of its largest rivals can't/won't. Coincidence? Probably not. https://www.cnbc.com/...