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TEXXR

Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Crypto exchange Kraken is considering going public via direct listing in 2022; Kraken is the fourth-largest crypto exchange by trading volume with 6M+ clients

- Kraken is considering going public via direct listing in 2022 after bitcoin's rally led to record trading volumes. Tweets: @ryan_browne_ Tweets: Ryan Browne / @ryan_browne_ : Kraken, the world's fourth-largest crypto exchange, is considering going public via direct listing in 2022 after blowout trading volumes in Q1, CEO @jespow tells me. More here: https://www.cnbc.com/...

CNBC Ryan Browne

Context & Ripple Effects

This April 2021 report is the starting gun on what became a five-year march toward public markets. CEO Jesse Powell told CNBC that record Q1 volumes off bitcoin's rally had put a 2022 direct listing on the table for the fourth-largest exchange by volume, with 6M+ clients — and Kraken kept building toward it, adding plans for US-listed stock and ETF trading through a new Kraken Securities division while reportedly pursuing a full European banking license via Lithuania.

The payoff arrived late: Kraken made its confidential US IPO filing in November 2025, raising $200M at a $20B peak just before the post-October downturn forced a pause in March 2026 and then a re-filing at $13.3B. The 2021 direct-listing idea gave way to a conventional IPO, but the sequencing — boom-year volumes, regulatory thaw, then a market-window gamble — traces directly back to this announcement.

First-order effects

  • Kraken gains a credible exit path for early backers and staff equity without an underwritten offering, riding Q1 2021's blowout volumes as proof of revenue durability.
  • A direct listing would force Kraken into quarterly disclosure years earlier than peers of similar private scale, exposing per-client economics across its 6M+ user base.

Second-order effects

  • Rival exchanges get a public-market comp for the first time among the top four by volume, resetting how private fundraising rounds price crypto infrastructure.
  • The listing ambition pulls adjacent businesses forward — the Kraken Securities equities-and-ETF division and the Lithuanian banking-license push are both moves that read differently once the company must show diversified revenue to public investors.

Third-order effects

  • The eventual arc — filing at $20B in late 2025, pausing when crypto markets turned down in October, re-emerging at $13.3B — shows crypto-exchange listings are timed to market cycles and regulator mood more than company readiness, with the SEC dropping its case against Kraken in 2025 as the enabling event.
  • If the pattern holds, the industry consolidates around exchanges that survive a full boom-bust-listing cycle with public-market discipline attached, while smaller venues stay private or exit.

The trend: Crypto exchanges' paths to public markets are increasingly gated less by company readiness than by bitcoin-cycle windows and regulatory climate shifts.