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TEXXR

Chronicles

The story behind the story

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PwC: total value of crypto M&A in 2020 more than doubled to $1.1B from 2019, average deal size rose to $52.7M from $19.2M, and fundraising was up 33% YoY

Joanna Ossinger / Bloomberg :

Bloomberg Joanna Ossinger

Context & Ripple Effects

The 2020 rebound lands against a steep drawdown: PwC's earlier report counted crypto M&A collapsing from 189 deals worth $1.89B in 2018 to 114 deals worth just $451M in last year's trough. The 2018 peak had itself followed a frenzy of activity, when PitchBook/JMP counted deal volume surging past 200% through October of that year.

What changed in the new numbers is the shape of the market, not just its size: total value more than doubled to $1.1B while average deal size jumped from $19.2M to $52.7M, meaning consolidation happened through fewer, far larger transactions rather than a return of high-volume deal flow.

First-order effects

  • Larger crypto companies become immediate acquisition targets: with per-deal spending tripling, acquirers are paying up for scaled assets rather than early-stage teams, repricing valuations across the sector.
  • Crypto startups that raised in 2020 benefit directly from the 33% fundraising increase, entering 2021 with more runway than their 2019-vintage peers had after the crash.

Second-order effects

  • Competing buyers chasing a smaller pool of scaled targets bid prices up further, pushing sub-scale startups toward selling earlier or merging with peers rather than raising independently.
  • The shift from many small deals to few large ones concentrates negotiating power with a handful of well-funded acquirers, squeezing advisors and smaller funds out of mid-market crypto dealmaking.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, crypto M&A matures into a consolidated industry structured around large platform acquisitions and public listings rather than speculative tuck-ins — an endpoint consistent with PitchBook's later reading of $8.6B across just 267 deals in 2025's far larger market, alongside a wave of crypto IPOs.
  • The sector's deal cycles are now visibly tied to asset-price swings — 2018 surge, 2019 bust, 2020 doubling — making crypto M&A a leading indicator investors can use to time exposure to the broader market.

The trend: Crypto M&A is cycling out of its post-2018 bust into a consolidation phase defined by fewer, dramatically larger deals as the sector professionalizes.