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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Rakuten says it plans to raise $2.2B to help it compete with US rivals, by issuing new shares to Walmart, Tencent, and Japan Post

Sam Shead / CNBC :

CNBC Sam Shead

Context & Ripple Effects

This is the second time Rakuten has turned to a big new share offering to fund an expansion push — the first was a $1.5B offering back in 2015 earmarked for acquisitions. In between, it committed $1.76B to network infrastructure to become Japan's fourth mobile carrier, a capital-heavy bet that sits behind today's need for fresh equity.

The investor list is a roll-up of existing ties: Walmart already sells 1,200 US brands on Rakuten Ichiba and runs a joint online grocery service with the company in Japan, while Japan Post anchors the domestic side. Selling shares to partners converts those commercial alliances into balance-sheet ones.

First-order effects

  • Walmart, Tencent, and Japan Post each become significant shareholders in Rakuten, giving Walmart and Tencent a direct financial stake in their existing Japanese retail partnerships rather than arms-length deals.
  • Existing Rakuten shareholders face dilution, and management gains roughly $2.2B of war chest explicitly framed as ammunition against larger US rivals.

Second-order effects

  • With Walmart now both partner and part-owner, the Ichiba marketplace relationship likely deepens beyond catalog listings toward tighter integration, squeezing other cross-border sellers competing for the same shelf space.
  • Tencent's stake gives it a foothold in Japanese consumer platforms at the same moment its own deal appetite is expanding — it was separately reported to be in talks to acquire Israeli game developer SuperPlay at a $1B–$1.5B valuation — signaling capital rotating into international positions.

Third-order effects

  • If this pattern holds, Rakuten's financing model becomes serial strategic equity — the corpus shows it returning to the same playbook in 2023 with a ~$1.9B raise after losing billions on mobile — meaning minority stakes sold to partners substitute for debt and full acquisitions.
  • Cross-border commerce increasingly consolidates around mutual ownership webs: retailers and platforms take small equity positions in each other across markets instead of building local operations, which they have shown they will abandon when they fail (Rakuten shut its US Buy.com store, acquired for $250M, in 2020).

The trend: Large platforms are funding expensive competitive expansions by selling minority stakes to their own commercial partners, turning alliance networks into ownership networks.