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Chronicles

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Sources: Instacart is considering going public through a direct listing, concerned that it could leave money on the table through a traditional IPO

(Reuters) - U.S. grocery delivery app Instacart is considering going public through a direct listing, concerned that it could leave money …

Reuters Joshua Franklin

Context & Ripple Effects

In March 2021, Instacart was still riding its pandemic-era peak and weighing how to go public: a direct listing, which skips underwritten share issuance, versus a traditional IPO it feared might leave money on the table. The related coverage shows where that debate landed — after confidentially filing IPO documents in May 2022, the company took the conventional route.

What intervened was a valuation reset: Instacart's internal valuation fell to roughly $13B, its third cut of 2022 and far below its 2021 mark, before it priced a September 2023 IPO at up to $7.73B. The direct-listing question was really a question about who captures value at listing — and by 2023 the answer had shifted toward giving employees liquidity, with plans to mostly sell employees' stock in a deliberately small offering.

First-order effects

  • A direct listing would let Instacart's existing shareholders — chiefly employees and early backers — sell stock immediately without the company issuing new shares or paying underwriters to price and place them.
  • Choosing between mechanisms forces Instacart to trade off banker-led price support against the risk that an unpriced debut undershoots, the exact money-on-the-table concern Reuters reports.

Second-order effects

  • Whichever path Instacart picks sets a reference point for other late-stage consumer delivery startups weighing their own debuts, since a high-profile direct listing would normalize skipping the underwritten IPO.
  • Investment banks lose fee revenue if marquee names like Instacart go direct, pushing them to compete harder on pricing credibility in traditional mandates.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, listing mechanics become a tool for managing valuation expectations across market cycles rather than a one-time choice — though Instacart's own arc suggests the valuation reset, not the mechanism, ended up defining its public debut.
  • Employee liquidity becomes the central design constraint of tech exits, with offerings structured around staff cash-out rather than primary capital raising.

The trend: Late-stage consumer internet companies are treating the choice of listing mechanism as part of a longer campaign to manage valuation expectations and deliver employee liquidity through shifting market conditions.

Discussion

  • @alex @alex on x
    so long as they drop the fucking S-1 I don't care if they use a Reverse Dutch SPAC direct auction listing to get out https://twitter.com/...