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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Profile of Instacart CEO Apoorva Mehta, who since the pandemic started has overseen three consecutive quarters of positive cash flow, a first for the company

and booming—business. Now the billionaire has to show he can outfox Bezos, dodge an avalanche of new competitors and calm his rebellious workers and restless partners https://on.forbes.com/... by @chloesorvino https://twitter.com/... @sequoia : “The trajectory of the company has forever changed.” - @apoorva_mehta. Over the past ten months, @Instacart has become an essential service for millions. Read more about the future of online grocery delivery & what's next for the Instacart team. https://www.forbes.com/... Cristina Berta Jones / @cristinagberta : “Instacart has become a really important source for us to allocate marketing spend, because it's just incredibly effective at connecting that $ to that sale” Few platforms for CPGs to connect ad $s to transactions, can Instacart become fully ad-funded? https://www.forbes.com/... Lauren Debter / @laurengensler : Great profile on Instacart's scramble to handle pandemic demand — which boosted sales to $1.5B (!) — by @chloesorvino https://www.forbes.com/... Geoff Ralston / @gralston : I remember testing out @Instacart in the summer of 2012 by ordering a dozen cupcakes. It worked like a charm. From there to epic company (now) seems inevitable. https://www.forbes.com/... @forbes : Mehta is looking past present challenges and reaching for more. “I'm on the phone with a retail CEO almost every day.” He says, “The trajectory of the company has forever changed.” https://www.forbes.com/... Thanks: @alexrkonrad

Forbes Chloe Sorvino

Context & Ripple Effects

This Forbes profile lands at the pivot point of Instacart's story: after years of burning cash, the company added 300K shoppers in eight weeks and posted its first-ever monthly profit of $10M in April 2020, and by this piece has stretched that into three consecutive quarters of positive cash flow on pandemic-driven demand. Mehta is now managing a company under simultaneous pressure from Amazon, its own shoppers, and retail partners questioning the economics.

The arc since then validates the cash-flow turn: advertising became nearly 30% of revenue (about $740M in 2022), and the company eventually reached profitability at scale with its IPO filing showing $2.55B in 2022 revenue and $428M net income. Mehta himself later left the CEO seat and the board, making this profile a snapshot of the founder at the moment the unit-economics question was finally answered.

First-order effects

  • Instacart's three profitable quarters change its negotiating position with retail partners and investors: it can fund growth from operations rather than successive capital raises while Mehta courts retail CEOs directly.

Second-order effects

  • Amazon's grocery push now competes against a self-funding rival rather than one dependent on venture subsidy, forcing the competition onto service breadth and partner terms instead of burn rate; CPG brands gain a transaction-linked ad channel that observers already flag as a possible path to a fully ad-funded model.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, grocery delivery consolidates around platforms whose margins come from retail-media advertising layered on delivery volume, while the labor unrest among shoppers pushes the gig-workforce model toward regulatory scrutiny.

The trend: Online grocery is shifting from a subsidized land-grab to an ads-and-logistics platform business, with Instacart's cash-flow turnaround marking the moment the sector had to stand on its own economics against Amazon.

Discussion

  • @chloesorvino Chloe Sorvino on x
    New Instacart financials: 2020 Sales: $1.5B on profitability: last 3 quarters of 2020 had positive cash flow (EBTIDA) contribution margin: grossing $3+ per order by mid-2020, up from a loss of $2+ per order at the start of 2019, or a loss of $15+ in 2015. https://www.forbes.com/.…
  • @forbes @forbes on x
    Apoorva Mehta's grocery delivery app, Instacart, is now an essential—and booming—business. Now the billionaire has to show he can outfox Bezos, dodge an avalanche of new competitors and calm his rebellious workers and restless partners https://on.forbes.com/... by @chloesorvino h…
  • @laurengensler Lauren Debter on x
    Great profile on Instacart's scramble to handle pandemic demand — which boosted sales to $1.5B (!) — by @chloesorvino https://www.forbes.com/...
  • @sequoia @sequoia on x
    “The trajectory of the company has forever changed.” - @apoorva_mehta. Over the past ten months, @Instacart has become an essential service for millions. Read more about the future of online grocery delivery & what's next for the Instacart team. https://www.forbes.com/...
  • @gralston Geoff Ralston on x
    I remember testing out @Instacart in the summer of 2012 by ordering a dozen cupcakes. It worked like a charm. From there to epic company (now) seems inevitable. https://www.forbes.com/...
  • @cristinagberta Cristina Berta Jones on x
    “Instacart has become a really important source for us to allocate marketing spend, because it's just incredibly effective at connecting that $ to that sale” Few platforms for CPGs to connect ad $s to transactions, can Instacart become fully ad-funded? https://www.forbes.com/...
  • @forbes @forbes on x
    Mehta is looking past present challenges and reaching for more. “I'm on the phone with a retail CEO almost every day.” He says, “The trajectory of the company has forever changed.” https://www.forbes.com/...