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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Analysts suggest the recent surge in GameStop's stock price, up 1,500% in nine months, is mostly the result of a short squeeze bubble that will pop eventually

New board members and a massive short squeeze cause stratospheric short-term growth.  —  Nine months ago, GameStop stock bottomed … Tweets: @kyleorl Tweets: Kyle Orland / @kyleorl : Are you confused as to why GameStop stock has risen ~1500% in the last nine months despite not much in the way of an apparent earnings turnaround? I was too. So I reported and wrote this: https://arstechnica.com/...

Ars Technica Kyle Orland

Context & Ripple Effects

This Ars Technica piece caught the rally near its start: analysts read GameStop's ~1,500% nine-month climb as a short squeeze driven by r/WallStreetBets rather than an earnings turnaround, with the arrival of new board members the only visible fundamental change. The surrounding coverage has since graded that call — within two weeks of the record run, shares closed at $90 after peaking at $483, and sympathy trades like AMC reversed alongside it.

What makes the story worth revisiting is the residue the bubble left behind. The squeeze handed chairman Ryan Cohen a valuation disconnected from operations, which he eventually converted — first pivoting away from an e-commerce push back to the ~4,400 stores, then raising ~$2.14B selling 75M shares into a later rally fueled by Keith Gill's return.

First-order effects

  • Short sellers are absorbing mounting losses as the squeeze pushes the price far beyond what the narrow earnings picture supports, with analysts explicitly framing the level as unsustainable.
  • GameStop's incoming board takes control of a company whose market value is now set by squeeze mechanics rather than store-level performance.

Second-order effects

  • The trade spreads by imitation: other heavily shorted names championed on r/WallStreetBets, AMC chief among them, close up more than 300% as the same crowd rotates through targets.
  • The gap between price and fundamentals gives management sellable equity — the same mechanism GameStop later used when it raised ~$2.14B at an average ~$28.49 per share during a renewed rally.

Third-order effects

  • Once the pop came and the sympathy trades unwound together, the durable effect proved structural: Cohen abandoned the e-commerce thesis and refocused the business on its ~4,400 stores, delivering GameStop's first profit in two years.
  • If the pattern holds, retail-coordinated squeezes function less as one-off anomalies than as a repeatable financing channel, letting companies monetize sentiment-driven valuations independent of operating results.

The trend: Retail-coordinated short squeezes are evolving from episodic bubbles into a recurring corporate financing channel, with GameStop serving as the template case.

Discussion

  • @kyleorl Kyle Orland on x
    Are you confused as to why GameStop stock has risen ~1500% in the last nine months despite not much in the way of an apparent earnings turnaround? I was too. So I reported and wrote this: https://arstechnica.com/...