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TEXXR

Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Tech giants are bracing for tougher regulation under Biden's administration, as Democrats' calls for regulation have become more urgent after Capitol attacks

Geroman / @geromanat : Translation: We will censor what ever you order https://twitter.com/... Abe el Honesto / @nekoplanetd : @MitchWagner @doctorow So a bit like what happened in europe. With the current regulations there's not much incentive to develop alternatives to the existing -american- solutions: too expensive to develop the algorithms when you can be liable for infringement when they fail. Dave Keating / @davekeating : It will be interesting to see how Brussels interacts with this new attitude in Washington. For years the US resisted EU efforts to crack down on tech giants (efforts that weren't very successful). Could they now join forces in taking on Silicon Valley? https://www.washingtonpost.com/ ...

Washington Post

Context & Ripple Effects

For years the story of Big Tech regulation was a Washington vacuum: as the EU emerged as Silicon Valley's most powerful regulator, US companies treated Brussels as the only enforcement frontier they had to manage. This piece marks the moment that changed — Democrats' post-Capitol urgency gives the incoming Biden administration both motive and mandate to regulate at home.

The open question Dave Keating's comment flags — how Brussels and Washington interact — became the defining variable of the next half-decade: US firms failed to win substantial changes to the Digital Markets Act and pivoted to compliance, before the relationship curdled into the dueling US-EU enforcement regimes that later split their legal attention.

First-order effects

  • Big US tech companies now face a two-front regulatory outlook for the first time — domestic legislation pushed by energized Democrats layered on top of existing EU enforcement, ending their ability to treat Brussels as the sole battleground.
  • Platforms' content-moderation choices around the Capitol attacks become immediate evidence in the regulatory debate, raising the cost of both action and inaction.

Second-order effects

  • If Washington moves, Brussels gains leverage rather than losing it: coordinated transatlantic pressure removes the companies' fallback of playing one capital against the other, accelerating the compliance-first posture they adopted on the DMA.
  • Lobbying budgets and strategy shift from blocking bills to shaping implementation, since the 2022 DMA fight showed the blocking approach had already failed in Europe.

Third-order effects

  • The hoped-for Brussels-Washington alignment never fully materializes — the corpus shows the relationship degrading into US threats of penalties against European firms like Mistral and Spotify (penalty threats) and censorship accusations European officials dismiss — making platform rules a standing geopolitical bargaining chip.
  • Structurally, tech regulation stops being a consumer-protection file and becomes an instrument of state competition, with each bloc's rulebook (DMA/DSA versus US countermeasures) doubling as economic policy toward the other.

The trend: Tech regulation is evolving from a US vacuum unilaterally filled by Brussels into a contested transatlantic power struggle over who sets the rules for global platforms.

Discussion

  • @jjainschigg John Jainschigg on x
    @MitchWagner @doctorow I think we're looking at social-media-as-it-exists (huge scale, huge connectedness, panopticon, etc.) as a sort of inevitability, and that may be wrong. Our problems (Trumpism, fake news, etc.) can be seen as relating directly to scale, not ‘freedom.’
  • @doctorow @doctorow on x
    Amid the calls from all corners for Facebook and other social media giants to do more moderation, let's take a moment to review these companies' manifest unfitness to moderate at all. 1/ https://twitter.com/...
  • @kerpen Phil Kerpen on x
    (But they'll write it and/or coopt it in implementation, and it will serve principally to protect them from competition.) https://twitter.com/...
  • @mitchwagner @mitchwagner on x
    Another worry is - as Cory @doctorow has noted - regulations get put in place that are so expensive to comply with that only billion-dollar companies can afford it, creating permanent monopolies that kill competition forever.
  • @geromanat — Geroman on x
    Translation: We will censor what ever you order https://twitter.com/...
  • @nekoplanetd Abe el Honesto on x
    @MitchWagner @doctorow So a bit like what happened in europe. With the current regulations there's not much incentive to develop alternatives to the existing -american- solutions: too expensive to develop the algorithms when you can be liable for infringement when they fail.
  • @davekeating Dave Keating on x
    It will be interesting to see how Brussels interacts with this new attitude in Washington. For years the US resisted EU efforts to crack down on tech giants (efforts that weren't very successful). Could they now join forces in taking on Silicon Valley? https://www.washingtonpost.…