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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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238M units of true wireless stereo hearables were shipped in 2020, up 83% YoY, with Apple devices comprising 29% market share, Xiaomi 13%, and Samsung 5%

San Diego, Seoul, Singapore, Hong Kong, New Delhi, Beijing, London, Buenos Aires  —  January 14, 2020

Counterpoint Research Sujeong Lim

Context & Ripple Effects

Two years ago this market was tiny enough that Counterpoint counted just 12.5M wireless hearables shipped in a quarter, with AirPods holding 60% of it. The 2020 tally of 238M units — nearly five times that quarterly run rate — shows the category went mainstream in exactly the window analysts flagged, when low- and mid-tier brands were already gaining.

The share math is the story: Apple's 29% is less than half its late-2018 dominance, while Xiaomi's 13% outpaces even its ~9% position in overall wearables per IDC's full-year 2020 count, which separately confirms Apple leading the broader 444.7M-unit wearable market.

First-order effects

  • Apple still ships more TWS hearables than any rival, but its pricing umbrella is gone — Xiaomi at 13% and Samsung at 5% are competing for the four-fifths of the market Apple no longer owns.
  • Xiaomi converts its budget-phone distribution into hearables volume faster than it does in watches or bands, making hearables its strongest wearable category relative to Apple.

Second-order effects

  • Samsung's 5% share puts pressure on it to bundle earbuds with Galaxy phones rather than sell them standalone, echoing how Android vendors respond to Apple's ecosystem lock-in elsewhere.
  • Component suppliers for Bluetooth audio silicon gain a demand base no longer dependent on one premium customer, as 83% annual growth is being driven by the sub-premium tiers.

Third-order effects

  • If the 2018-to-2020 share trajectory holds, hearables complete the same commoditization path smartphones took: a premium pioneer defines the category, then tiered Android vendors absorb most of the volume.
  • The pattern reinforces what later smartwatch data shows — Apple keeps the profit pool while Indian and Chinese brands take unit growth — structurally splitting wearables into a high-margin Apple segment and a high-volume everyone-else segment.

The trend: Hearables are following the smartphone playbook from premium-niche to mass-market commodity, with Apple ceding unit share while defending the profit pool.