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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Roblox files S-1 for its IPO, reports losses of $206M on $589M in revenue, 31.1M DAU, and 22.2B engaged hours, up 122% YoY, for the first nine months of 2020

here's what we learned from the most recent wave of IPO filings Sarah E. Needleman / Wall Street Journal : Roblox Files IPO Amid Surge in Videogame Spending Alex Wilhelm / TechCrunch : What is Roblox worth?  —  Public markets appear to be even more risk-on in 2020 Tae Kim / Bloomberg : Roblox Shows Why It's the Hottest Game, and IPO, Around Annie Palmer / CNBC : Wish releases its filing to go public, shows slow growth and steady losses Samantha Cole / VICE : Roblox Goes Public, Says Child Pornography Is a Risk to Its Business Peter Grimm / Game Rant : Roblox Corp. Has Gone Public | Game Rant Christine Hall / Crunchbase News : Wish Files For IPO Citing Losses, Revenue Growth Due To COVID-19 Maria Deutscher / SiliconANGLE : Wish and Roblox release IPO filings, revealing rapid growth Lucinda Shen / Fortune : An unminted Black unicorn Roblox : Roblox S-1 Filing Ari Levy / CNBC : Gaming company Roblox files IPO prospectus after 91% jump in revenue Tweets: Deirdre Bosa / @dee_bosa : Roblox numbers are 🤯 First 9 mos of year: Daily active users almost doubled to 36 million Hours engaged >doubled to 8.7 billion Per @levynews: based on comparable multiple to Unity's annualized rev, Roblox would be worth over $37b https://www.cnbc.com/... Evan Zirschky / @evanzir : According to page 147 of @Roblox's filing (via SEC) to go public on the New York Stock Exchange: In 2019 #Roblox CEO @DavidBaszucki had a salary of $500,000 + an additional $4,043,954 in Option Awards & “Other Compensation” Totaling: $4,543,954 Source: https://www.sec.gov/... https://twitter.com/... Felipe Pepe / @felipepepe : That reminder that Roblox is one of the biggest games of the decade, it's still growing and had special features added to help parents deal with COVID... ...but OF COURSE it wasn't nominated for Best Ongoing Game at the prestigious “US console gamers in their 30s Game Awards” :P https://twitter.com/... Matthew Ball / @ballmatthew : For twelve months ended September 30, 2020, over 960,000 developers and creators earned Robux on the Roblox Platform, of which there were over 1,050 developers and creators that earned $10,000 or more and nearly 250 developers and creators that earned $100,000 or more in Robux Ari Levy / @levynews : Kids + pandemic = Roblox mega IPO on the way $242 mln in quarterly revenue, up 91% yoy. If Roblox gets a multiple comparable to Unity's, it will be worth about $37 bln https://www.cnbc.com/... Mule / @foolallthetime : We finally get a Minecraft comp eh $MSFT https://twitter.com/... Byrne Hobart / @byrnehobart : Best measure of how sustainable a management team thinks growth is: how much they disclose around usage. Roblox gives DAUs and hours of play time. Good way to precommit to growing both. https://twitter.com/... Eric Jhonsa / @ericjhonsa : Financials from Roblox's just-filed S-1. $293M in FCF produced from Q1-Q3. They were reportedly eying an ~$8B valuation in October. Wouldn't surprise me if they got something a lot higher, given current multiples for $U and others. https://www.sec.gov/... https://twitter.com/... @bloxy_news : BREAKING: @Roblox files an IPO to go public in the New York Stock Exchange, starting with a share price between $2.55 and $3.41 per share and the ticker $RBLX. Read more: https://www.cnbc.com/... Full Filing: https://www.sec.gov/... https://twitter.com/... Kia K. / @imkialikethecar : Roblox has 31.1m DAUs — DAILY! https://twitter.com/... Michael Luo / @michaelluo : I wonder if familial discord caused by nonstop playing of Roblox by 11 year old daughters is disclosed anywhere on their SEC filing. https://www.axios.com/... Rob Pegoraro / @robpegoraro : With all the time my kid's been spending in Roblox, the least they could do is comp us a share of stock. https://www.cnbc.com/... Alex Heath / @alexeheath : Roblox S-1 is out: “Our business plan assumes that the demand for interactive entertainment offerings, specifically, the adoption of a metaverse with users interacting together...” - 31m daily users - $589m in rev so far this year https://www.sec.gov/... Ken Yeung / @thekenyeung : First it's Airbnb, then it's Affirm, and now it's Roblox. https://www.axios.com/...

Axios Dan Primack

Context & Ripple Effects

This S-1 is the moment Roblox's private-market story gets audited in public: the filing pairs pandemic-era engagement (22.2B hours, up 122% YoY across 31.1M DAUs) with a $206M loss on $589M of revenue, and prices the NYSE listing at just $2.55–$3.41 per share even as analysts float a ~$37B valuation on a Unity-style multiple. It also forces disclosure of what VICE flagged prominently — that child pornography on the platform is named a material business risk, putting safety spend on the balance sheet alongside growth.

The filing also formalizes the creator-economy math behind the platform: over 960,000 developers earned Robux, with more than 1,050 clearing $10,000 and nearly 250 earning $100,000+. That outsourced-development model, later profiled in detail ahead of the March IPO with more than 300 developers earning $100K+ in 2020, becomes the core bull case investors will be asked to underwrite.

First-order effects

  • Roblox now reports to public-market standards from day one: every subsequent quarter — like Q3 2022's 15%+ stock drop on a bigger-than-expected loss — will be judged against the loss-heavy baseline this S-1 establishes.
  • Content moderation moves from PR problem to disclosed material risk, meaning safety incidents can now legally move RBLX's share price.

Second-order effects

  • The creator-payout disclosures set a competitive benchmark other UGC and gaming platforms must answer — rival platforms competing for the same young developers now face published comparisons of who pays out at scale.
  • Unity-comparable valuation logic (~$37B estimates) ties Roblox's pricing to engine-and-tools multiples rather than game publishers', pressuring adjacent gaming listings to argue which category they belong in.

Third-order effects

  • If the post-IPO pattern holds — DAUs climbing into the 65M range by Q1 2023 while losses widen to ~$283M per quarter per Q2 2023 results — public markets will keep repricing engagement-first platforms on bookings quality and path to profit rather than user growth alone.
  • Child-safety-as-material-risk sets a template for how youth-facing platforms disclose regulatory exposure, likely drawing regulator attention to moderation economics at scale.

The trend: User-generated-content game platforms are moving from private growth metrics to public-market discipline, where engagement gains are discounted until losses narrow.

Discussion

  • @dee_bosa Deirdre Bosa on x
    Roblox numbers are 🤯 First 9 mos of year: Daily active users almost doubled to 36 million Hours engaged >doubled to 8.7 billion Per @levynews: based on comparable multiple to Unity's annualized rev, Roblox would be worth over $37b https://www.cnbc.com/...
  • @evanzir Evan Zirschky on x
    According to page 147 of @Roblox's filing (via SEC) to go public on the New York Stock Exchange: In 2019 #Roblox CEO @DavidBaszucki had a salary of $500,000 + an additional $4,043,954 in Option Awards & “Other Compensation” Totaling: $4,543,954 Source: https://www.sec.gov/... htt…
  • @felipepepe Felipe Pepe on x
    That reminder that Roblox is one of the biggest games of the decade, it's still growing and had special features added to help parents deal with COVID... ...but OF COURSE it wasn't nominated for Best Ongoing Game at the prestigious “US console gamers in their 30s Game Awards” :P …
  • @ballmatthew Matthew Ball on x
    For twelve months ended September 30, 2020, over 960,000 developers and creators earned Robux on the Roblox Platform, of which there were over 1,050 developers and creators that earned $10,000 or more and nearly 250 developers and creators that earned $100,000 or more in Robux
  • @levynews Ari Levy on x
    Kids + pandemic = Roblox mega IPO on the way $242 mln in quarterly revenue, up 91% yoy. If Roblox gets a multiple comparable to Unity's, it will be worth about $37 bln https://www.cnbc.com/...
  • @foolallthetime Mule on x
    We finally get a Minecraft comp eh $MSFT https://twitter.com/...
  • @byrnehobart Byrne Hobart on x
    Best measure of how sustainable a management team thinks growth is: how much they disclose around usage. Roblox gives DAUs and hours of play time. Good way to precommit to growing both. https://twitter.com/...
  • @ericjhonsa Eric Jhonsa on x
    Financials from Roblox's just-filed S-1. $293M in FCF produced from Q1-Q3. They were reportedly eying an ~$8B valuation in October. Wouldn't surprise me if they got something a lot higher, given current multiples for $U and others. https://www.sec.gov/... https://twitter.com/...
  • @bloxy_news @bloxy_news on x
    BREAKING: @Roblox files an IPO to go public in the New York Stock Exchange, starting with a share price between $2.55 and $3.41 per share and the ticker $RBLX. Read more: https://www.cnbc.com/... Full Filing: https://www.sec.gov/... https://twitter.com/...
  • @imkialikethecar Kia K. on x
    Roblox has 31.1m DAUs — DAILY! https://twitter.com/...
  • @michaelluo Michael Luo on x
    I wonder if familial discord caused by nonstop playing of Roblox by 11 year old daughters is disclosed anywhere on their SEC filing. https://www.axios.com/...
  • @robpegoraro Rob Pegoraro on x
    With all the time my kid's been spending in Roblox, the least they could do is comp us a share of stock. https://www.cnbc.com/...
  • @alexeheath Alex Heath on x
    Roblox S-1 is out: “Our business plan assumes that the demand for interactive entertainment offerings, specifically, the adoption of a metaverse with users interacting together...” - 31m daily users - $589m in rev so far this year https://www.sec.gov/...
  • @thekenyeung Ken Yeung on x
    First it's Airbnb, then it's Affirm, and now it's Roblox. https://www.axios.com/...